人类活动对秦岭月河流域径流变化的影响分析

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2023.04.09

Abstract

Abstract:

Climate change and human activities are the main driving forces of river runoff variation. Under the similar weather condition (SWC), human activities are the dominant factors for change of discharge in the basin that quantitative identification on the action mechanism of human activities on runoff change has great significance to further explore the change characteristics of runoff. This study was conducted in the Yue River basin of the Qinling Mountains. Combined with Land-Use and Land-Cover Change (LUCC) as well as Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), human activities’ impacts on runoff is quantified by analyzing runoff changes in the Yue River basin with similar weather condition. The results show that: the average runoff value from 1960 to 2018 is 8.3×10⁸ m³. The discharge shows a decreasing trend as a whole, and the change trend is not significant. Under the similar weather condition, this research obtains 6 paired-years. Among them, the annual runoff of 3 paired-years increased and that of 2 paired-years decreased. Taking the third paired-year (2000 and 2016) as an example to quantitatively distinguish the impact of climate change and human activities on runoff which reduced by 4.7×10⁸ m³ in 2016 compared with 2000. In the third paired-year (2000 and 2016), 25751.4 hm² of arable land was converted into forest land, and the forest land area increased by 24998.9 hm². The NDVI change is mainly caused by human activities. The area increased by NDVI in 2016 was 242652.0 hm² compared with that in 2000. The change trend of NDVI is opposite to that of runoff. This study can provide a theoretical basis for quantitative evaluation for human activities’ impact on river runoff changes within the Qinling Mountains.

Key words: Yue River Basin, human activities, similar weather condition, LUCC, NDVI

DUAN Yujia, HE Yi, ZHAO Jie, WU Qiong. Analysis of impact of human activities on runoff changes in Yue River Basin of the Qinling Mountains[J].Arid Zone Research, 2023, 40(4): 605-614.

Figures/Tables 10

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References 35

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特征值	平均值	中位数	标准差	最小值	最大值	变差系数
年降雨量/mm	912.6	855.1	151.4	599.8	1264.5	0.173
年潜在蒸发量/mm	873.1	923.4	59.1	771.1	1032.6	0.064
年径流量/10⁸m³	8.3	7.1	4.0	1.7	19.2	0.481

编号	相似时段			降雨量/mm		潜在蒸发量/mm
编号	时段1	时段2	年差/a	时段1	时段2	时段1	时段2
1	1973年	1968年	5	858.8	843.6	964.3	947.5
2	2016年	1975年	41	970.6	960.4	942.4	924.6
3	2016年	2000年	16	970.6	989.9	942.4	929.2
4	2000年	1967年	33	989.9	1002.9	929.2	926.9
5	1982年	2012年	30	838.6	846.2	875.5	874.4
6	1964年	2003年	39	1141.3	1159.3	835.0	829.8

编号	相似时段		年径流量/10⁸m³		变化/10⁸m³	变幅/%
编号	时段1	时段2	时段1	时段2	变化/10⁸m³	变幅/%
1	1973年	1968年	6.7	13.1	6.4	95.5
2	2016年	1975年	4.6	13.8	9.2	200.0
3	2016年	2000年	4.6	9.3	4.7	102.2
4	2000年	1967年	9.3	12.2	2.9	31.2
5	1982年	2012年	9.0	8.0	-1.0	-11.1
6	1964年	2003年	19.2	14.2	-5.0	-26.0

		2016年
	LUCC	不透水面	草地	耕地	灌木	林地	水体	2000年总计
2000年	不透水面	1798.9	-	42.0	-	-	93.9	1934.8
	草地	2.4	339.5	1219.1	26.1	2106.4	0.2	3693.7
	耕地	1892.9	199.5	70456.6	24.9	25751.4	114.6	98439.7
	灌木	-	24.7	115.2	119.4	1088.9	-	1348.2
	林地	7.2	40.5	3871.7	26.1	171795.5	3.9	175744.9
	水体	17.1	-	104.1	-	1.7	189.6	312.5
	2016年总计	3718.4	604.2	75808.7	196.5	200743.8	402.3	281473.8

Analysis of impact of human activities on runoff changes in Yue River Basin of the Qinling Mountains

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