新疆能源消费碳排放时空特征及能源结构调整路径探讨

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2024.03.13

干旱区研究 ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (3): 490-498.doi: 10.13866/j.azr.2024.03.13 cstr: 32277.14.j.azr.2024.03.13

新疆能源消费碳排放时空特征及能源结构调整路径探讨

包佳玉¹(), 李祥龙¹, 胡启文¹(), 李涛²^,³

1.昆明理工大学国土资源工程学院，云南昆明 650093
2.中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所荒漠与绿洲生态国家重点实验室，干旱区生态安全与可持续发展全国重点实验室，新疆乌鲁木齐 830011
3.中国科学院大学，北京 100049

收稿日期:2023-12-26 修回日期:2023-01-23 出版日期:2024-03-15 发布日期:2024-04-01
通讯作者: 胡启文. E-mail: jianghu4592@126.com
作者简介:包佳玉（1997-），女，硕士研究生，主要从事资源与环境研究. E-mail: christina_baob@163.com
基金资助:
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所基础前沿项目(JCQY-X03)

Spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon emissions from energy consumption and the approach to energy structure adjustment in Xinjiang

BAO Jiayu¹(), LI Xianglong¹, HU Qiwen¹(), LI Tao²^,³

1. Faculty of Land Resources Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093,Yunnan, China
2. State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Key Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China
3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received:2023-12-26 Revised:2023-01-23 Published:2024-03-15 Online:2024-04-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

新疆作为我国重要的能源生产与供给基地，合理的协调经济发展与能源碳排放之间的关系，是实现其经济可持续发展与节能减排目标的重要前提。本文在整理新疆各类统计数据的基础上利用空间自相关对新疆2000—2020年能源消费碳排放的时空特征进行了测算和分析。结果表明：（1）研究期间新疆能源消费碳排放总量呈现逐年增加的趋势，但碳排放强度整体上呈现下降趋势；（2）碳排放强度的空间分布特征表现为：天山东坡碳排放强度较高，准噶尔北缘、天山北坡和昆仑山北坡则相对较低，并且具有明显的集聚特点；（3）在全球变暖与碳减排的大背景下，新疆需要从区域资源禀赋特点入手，建立差异化的能源结构调整策略，通过构建多能互补的绿色能源网络，促进区域实现“双碳”目标和社会经济的高质量发展。

关键词: 碳排放强度, 能源消费, 时空特征, 调整路径, 新疆

Abstract:

As an important energy production and supply base in China, Xinjiang plays a pivotal role in the delicate balance between economic development and carbon emissions. Ensuring a harmonious coordination between these factors is essential to achieve sustainable economic growth and meet goals related to energy conservation and emission reduction. This paper measures and analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics of energy consumption carbon emissions in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020 using spatial autocorrelation based on the data obtained from Xinjiang Statistical Yearbook. Results indicate that the total carbon emission intensity from energy consumption in Xinjiang shows an increasing trend every year during the study period. Nevertheless, the overall trend reveals a reduction in the intensity of carbon emissions. The spatial distribution of carbon emission intensity shows that the eastern slope of Tianshan Mountain has a high carbon emission intensity, whereas the northern edge of Junggar, the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain, and the northern slope of Kunlun Mountain has a low carbon emission intensity. These regions exhibit evident clustering characteristics. Considering global warming and carbon emission reduction, Xinjiang must work toward achieving the goals of “carbon peak” and “carbon neutrality” while promoting high-quality socioeconomic development in the area through the implementation of a multi-energy, complementary green energy network.

Key words: carbon emission intensity, energy consumption, spatiotemporal characteristics, approach to adjustment, Xinjiang

包佳玉, 李祥龙, 胡启文, 李涛. 新疆能源消费碳排放时空特征及能源结构调整路径探讨[J]. 干旱区研究, 2024, 41(3): 490-498.

BAO Jiayu, LI Xianglong, HU Qiwen, LI Tao. Spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon emissions from energy consumption and the approach to energy structure adjustment in Xinjiang[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2024, 41(3): 490-498.

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	单位热值含碳量/（t·TJ^-1）	碳氧化率/%	平均低位发热量	折标准煤系数
原煤	26.37	94	20934 kJ·kg^-1	0.714 kgce·kg^-1
原油	20.08	98	41868 kJ·kg^-1	1.429 kgce·kg^-1
天然气	15.32	99	38979 kJ·m^-3	1.330 kgce·m^-3

时期	集聚类型	HH	LH	LL	HL
2000—2005年	HH	昌吉、哈密、乌鲁木齐、克拉玛依
	LH	塔城		伊犁
	LL		巴州	和田、博州、克州、喀什、吐鲁番	阿克苏
	HL	阿勒泰
2005—2015年	HH	昌吉、哈密、克拉玛依	乌鲁木齐	塔城、阿勒泰
	LH		巴州
	LL	吐鲁番		和田、博州、克州、喀什、伊犁
	HL				阿克苏
2015—2020年	HH	昌吉、哈密、克拉玛依、吐鲁番
	LH		乌鲁木齐、巴州
	LL		阿勒泰、塔城	和田、博州、克州、喀什、伊犁
	HL				阿克苏

新疆能源消费碳排放时空特征及能源结构调整路径探讨

Spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon emissions from energy consumption and the approach to energy structure adjustment in Xinjiang

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