黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性的耦合协调水平测度及交互响应

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2025.11.12

Abstract

Abstract:

It is of great scientific significance and practical value to quantitatively evaluate the coupling coordination degree and mutual response relationship between new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin for promoting ecological protection in the basin. Based on the construction of the coupling coordination evaluation index system of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin, this study comprehensively used Kernel density estimation, Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method, coupling coordination model, and panel VAR model to explore the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and interactive response relationship between the coupling coordination degree of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin from 2013 to 2022. The results showed that: (1) During the study period, the coupling coordination level of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin significantly improved, with still much room for improvement in terms of high quality coordination. (2) The contribution rate of inter-basin differences was 60%-70%, primarily causing regional imbalance, especially a “fault gap” in the upstream, middle, and lower reaches. (3) The new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin had a “self-reinforcing effect,” and there was a dynamic interaction response of “short-term inhibition and long-term promotion” between the two but a virtuous circle was not yet formed. This study provides a certain reference value and scientific basis for promoting the development of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin based on local conditions.

Key words: Yellow River Basin, new quality productivity, ecological resilience, coupling coordination, interaction response

ZHOU Wenhui, XU Caiyan. Coupled coordination level measurement and interaction response analysis of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin[J].Arid Zone Research, 2025, 42(11): 2093-2103.

Figures/Tables 7

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References 26

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目标层	准则层	指标层	属性
新质生产力	新型劳动者	技术研发人员数	+
	新型劳动者	新兴产业人员总数	+
	新型劳动对象	可再生能源发电比重	+
		可再生能源利用效率	+
		新材料产业产值	+
		特高压输电线路数	+
	新型劳动资料	互联网宽带接入端口数	+
		移动用户数	+
		数据交易所数量	+
		工业机器人安装密度	+
生态韧性	抵抗力	森林覆盖率	+
		建成区绿化覆盖率	+
		人均公园绿地面积	+
		人均水资源量	+
	适应力	二氧化硫排放量	-
		万元GDP水耗	-
		万元GDP能耗	-
	恢复力	城镇生活污水处理率	+
		水土流失治理面积	+
		工业固体废物综合利用率	+
		工业污染治理投资	+

滞后期阶数	AIC	BIC	HQIC
1	-4.698	-3.950^*	-4.404
2	-4.490	-3.532	-4.120
3	-4.921^*	-3.717	-4.472^*
4	-4.700	-3.205	-4.178

变量	NQP	ECR
L.NQP	1.203^***	-0.102
L.NQP	（0.141）	（0.120）
L.ECR	-0.101	1.000^***
L.ECR	（0.159）	（0.134）
L2.NQP	-0.506	0.031
L2.NQP	（0.320）	（0.197）
L2.ECR	0.027	0.007
L2.ECR	（0.189）	（0.160）
L3.NQP	0.457^**	0.076
L3.NQP	（0.181）	（0.153）
L3.ECR	0.093	-0.065
L3.ECR	（0.135）	（0.114)

Coupled coordination level measurement and interaction response analysis of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin

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