未来气候变化对特有物种沙生柽柳分布格局的影响及其保护启示

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2018.01.19

Abstract

Abstract: In order to predict the impact of future climate change on the potential suitable distribution of Tamarix taklamakanensis,a rare endemic plant species in China,the climate situations in the past (1961-1990),2050 and 2070 were selected to simulate the dynamic change of the distribution of T. taklamakanensis in the Kumtag Desert using the Maxent model. The research results are as follows:① The suitable distribution areas of T. taklamakanensis would be the Tarim Basin,Turpan Basin,Kumtag Desert,and northwest region of the Alxa Desert in Inner Mongolia,and the most suitable potential distribution area would be the Kumtag Deser in the hinterland and the eastern part of the Tarim Basin;② Compared with the past potential distribution of T. taklamakanensis, the most suitable potential distribution areas would be shrunk in both 2050 and 2070;③ The climatic factors affecting the potential distribution of T. taklamakanensis would be mainly the precipitation in the driest season,annual precipitation,annual temperature and precipitation in the warmest season.

Key words: Tamarix taklamakanensis, climate change, distribution pattern, suitable potential distribution, dynamic change

SU Zhi-hao, PAN Bo-rong, ZHUO Li, LI Wen-jun, LIU Hui-liang, JIANG Xiao-long, YAN De-min. Impact of Future Climate Change on Distribution Pattern of Tamarix taklamakanensis and Its Conservation Revelation[J].Arid Zone Research, 2018, 35(1): 150-155.

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Impact of Future Climate Change on Distribution Pattern of Tamarix taklamakanensis and Its Conservation Revelation

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