干旱区研究

干旱区研究 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1): 64-68.

• 水、土资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

新疆艾比湖湖面面积变化分析

 刘文军1, 张鹏1, 李丽华2, 冯志敏3   

    1. 新疆维吾尔自治区环境保护科学研究院，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
    2. 新疆大学 资源与环境科学学院，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046
    3. 新疆维吾尔自治区气候中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830002
  • 收稿日期:2008-10-21 修回日期:2009-01-14 发布日期:2011-09-06
  • 作者简介:刘文军（1975－），男，山东济宁人，硕士，主要从事环境遥感监测研究.E-mail:lwjliuwenjun@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目（200821162）；国家自然科学基金资助项目（40671170）

Analysis on the Factors Affecting the Change of the Ebinur Lake Area

 LIU  Wen-Jun1, ZHANG  Peng1, LI  Li-Hua2, FENG  Zhi-Min3   

    1. Xinjiang Academy of Environmental Protection Science, Urumqi 830011, China
    2. College of Resources & Environmental Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China
    3. Xinjiang Climate Center, Urumqi 830002, China
  • Received:2008-10-21 Revised:2009-01-14 Online:2011-09-06

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摘要： 利用遥感资料和文献，研究艾比湖湖面面积的年际和月际变化。利用最小二乘法求参数，进行线性回归，寻求湖面变化和降水因子的相关性，得出降水量和湖面面积的相关系数为0.706 43，经显著性检验,并用大量的数据及事实分析了湖面面积和其他自然因素及人类活动因子的相关性。根据以上研究可以大致预测艾比湖湖面的变化趋势，为决策层制定防治对策提供科学依据。

关键词: 艾比湖, 变化因子, 湖面面积, 人类活动, 新疆

Abstract: In this paper, the annual and monthly variation of area of the Ebinur Lake in Xinjiang is researched based on the remote sensing information and references. The change of area of the Ebinur Lake is qualitatively and quantitatively analyzed, the leastsquares procedure is used to carry out the linear regression so as to search the correlation between the change of area of the Ebinur Lake and precipitation. The results show that the correlation coefficient between area of the Ebinur Lake and precipitation is 0.706 43, and the significance test reveals that there is a significant positive correlation between the annual precipitation and the Ebinur Lake area. The correlations between the Ebinur Lake area and the natural factors and human activities are analyzed based on large numbers of data and facts. On which the change trend of the Ebinur Lake area is roughly predicted. The study results provide the scientific basis for the further research and working out the measures for controlling the reduction of the Ebinur Lake area.

Key words: the Ebinur Lake, factor, lake area, Xinjiang

中图分类号: 

  • P343.3