Tab. 1

The information list of climate models"

Fig. 1

The meteorological stations distribution on the Tibetan Plateau"

Fig. 2

The distribution of climate mean precipitation (a) and mean square deviation (b) in early winter over the Tibetan Plateau"

Fig. 3

The distribution of climate mean precipitation (left) and its deviation (right) based on models hindcasting in early winter over the Tibetan Plateau"

Fig. 4

The first three EOF modes of TP precipitation during early winter over the Tibetan Plateau based on observation and multi-model hindcasting"

Tab. 2

The variance contribution rates of the first three modes based on the observation and model hindcasting"

Tab. 3

The correlation coefficients between the observation and model hindcasting on patterns and time series"

Fig. 5

RMSE skill for precipitation during early winter over the Tibetan Plateau based on multi-model hindcasting"

Fig. 6

Temporal correlation coefficient (TCC) skill for precipitation during early winter over the Tibetan Plateau based on multi-model hindcasting"

Fig. 7

Scatter plot of the Ni?o 3.4, IOD indices and ACC in early winter during 1961-2018 by BCC and TCC models"

Fig. 8

The precipitation and its anomalous percentage during early winter 2018 over the Tibetan Plateau"

Fig. 9

The precipitation (left) and its anomalous percentage (right) in early winter 2018 based on multi-model prediction"

Fig. 10

The anomalous field of 500 hPa geopotential height in early winter 2018 (a) and the temporal variation of EU index based on NCEP dataset (b)"

Fig. 11

The anomalous field of 500 hPa geopotential height in early winter 2018 based on multi-model prediction"

Fig. 12

The SSTA in early winter 2018"

Fig. 13

The SSTA prediction in early winter 2018 from models"