Arid Zone Research ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (4): 1172-1183.doi: 10.13866/j.azr.2021.04.29
• Ecology and Environment • Previous Articles Next Articles
GAO Yuting1,2,3(),YU Yang1,2,3(),SUN Lingxiao1,3,YU Ruide1,3,4
Received:
2020-09-14
Revised:
2021-02-21
Online:
2021-07-15
Published:
2021-08-03
Contact:
Yang YU
E-mail:gaoyuting18@mails.ucas.ac.cn;yuyang@ms.xjb.ac.cn
GAO Yuting,YU Yang,SUN Lingxiao,YU Ruide. Land coverage change and driving forces of an oasis in the southern margin of Tarim Basin[J].Arid Zone Research, 2021, 38(4): 1172-1183.
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Tab. 1
Land use torque matrix of Cele oasis from 1990 to 2018 /km2"
土地利用类型 | 农田 | 林地 | 高覆盖植被 | 中覆盖植被 | 低覆盖植被 | 建设用地 | 未利用土地 | 总计 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
农田 | 56.55 | 5.02 | 0.24 | 0.02 | 1.68 | 0.10 | 63.61 | |
林地 | 33.56 | 1.24 | 7.05 | 1.45 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 43.50 |
高覆盖植被 | 4.20 | 2.32 | 0.62 | 7.15 | ||||
中覆盖植被 | 12.75 | 16.04 | 17.79 | 1.38 | 2.55 | 50.51 | ||
低覆盖植被 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 1.82 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 3.74 | ||
建设用地 | 2.62 | 0.37 | 2.41 | 5.40 | ||||
未利用土地 | 23.15 | 0.22 | 2.36 | 11.19 | 4.58 | 3.52 | 38.09 | 83.11 |
总计 | 134.41 | 6.84 | 27.78 | 33.11 | 6.21 | 7.75 | 40.92 | 257.02 |
Tab. 2
Dynamic change rate of land use in Cele oasis from 1990 to 2018"
土地利用 类型 | 1990—2000年 | 2000—2010年 | 2010—2018年 | 1990—2018年 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
变化 面积/km2 | 单一动 态度/% | 双向动 态度/% | 变化 面积/km2 | 单一动 态度/% | 双向动 态度/% | 变化 面积/km2 | 单一动 态度/% | 双向动 态度/% | 变化 面积/km2 | 单一动 态度/% | 双向动态度/% | |
农田 | 15.62 | 2.46 | 4.55 | 28.16 | 3.56 | 6.11 | 27.07 | 3.15 | 3.32 | 70.84 | 3.98 | 10.41 |
林地 | 4.92 | 1.13 | 18.30 | -41.55 | -8.59 | 12.78 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.90 | -36.62 | -3.01 | 3.93 |
高覆盖植被 | 22.18 | 31.05 | 40.62 | 8.96 | 3.06 | 14.95 | -10.50 | -3.43 | 3.74 | 20.64 | 10.32 | 15.14 |
中覆盖植被 | -40.00 | -7.93 | 10.17 | 31.16 | 29.75 | 44.99 | -8.53 | -2.56 | 2.96 | -17.37 | -1.23 | 3.40 |
低覆盖植被 | 7.14 | 19.10 | 38.10 | -2.93 | -2.69 | 13.50 | -1.74 | -2.73 | 3.57 | 2.47 | 2.36 | 9.10 |
建设用地 | 2.69 | 5.00 | 16.19 | -3.70 | -4.57 | 9.50 | 3.37 | 9.59 | 10.25 | 2.36 | 1.56 | 5.52 |
未利用土地 | -12.64 | -1.52 | 4.09 | -19.75 | -2.81 | 3.35 | -9.73 | -2.40 | 2.68 | -42.12 | -1.81 | 2.06 |
Tab. 3
Principal component analysis of driving factors of land cover change"
因素 | 第一主成分 | 第二主成分 | 第三主成分 | 第四主成分 | 第五主成分 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
径流量 | 0.448 | 0.312 | -0.203 | -0.168 | -0.752 |
气温 | 0.290 | 0.692 | 0.344 | 0.512 | 0.221 |
降水 | 0.440 | 0.043 | 0.411 | -0.727 | 0.326 |
蒸发量 | -0.325 | 0.598 | -0.569 | -0.369 | 0.246 |
人口 | 0.451 | -0.172 | -0.479 | 0.190 | 0.468 |
粮食 | 0.461 | -0.190 | -0.344 | 0.089 | -0.004 |
特征值 | 4.327 | 1.140 | 0.336 | 0.194 | 0.003 |
累计贡献率/% | 0.721 | 0.911 | 0.967 | 0.999 | 1 |
Tab. 4
Regression analysis results"
土地利用类型 | 回归方程 | 显著性水平 |
---|---|---|
农田 | Y=0.429X1+0.282X2 | R2=88.74%, F=11.82 |
林地 | Y=-0.330X1-0.384X2 | R2=63.93%, F=2.66 |
高覆盖植被 | Y=0.190X2-0.287X2 | R2=25.07%, F=0.50 |
中覆盖植被 | Y=-0.105X1+0.618X2 | R2=48.30%, F=1.40 |
低覆盖植被 | Y=0.094X1-0.737X2 | R2=65.76%, F=2.88 |
建设用地 | Y=0.278X1-0.744X2 | R2=96.50%, F=41.40 |
未利用土地 | Y=-0.426X1-0.161X2 | R2=81.44%, F=6.58 |
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