干旱区研究 ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (6): 970-980.doi: 10.13866/j.azr.2025.06.02 cstr: 32277.14.AZR.20250602

• 天气与气候 • 上一篇    下一篇

甘肃河东夏季区域性短时强降水特征

孔祥伟1,2,3(), 李晨蕊2(), 邸文婧2, 杨毅1, 付正旭2, 杨秀梅2,3   

  1. 1.兰州大学大气科学学院,兰州大学地球系统模式发展研究中心,甘肃 兰州 730000
    2.兰州中心气象台,甘肃 兰州 730020
    3.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所,甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室,中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室,甘肃 兰州 730020
  • 收稿日期:2024-09-02 修回日期:2024-10-19 出版日期:2025-06-15 发布日期:2025-06-11
  • 通讯作者: 李晨蕊. E-mail: lcr0273@l26.com
  • 作者简介:孔祥伟(1988-),男,高级工程师,主要从事灾害性天气预报与研究. E-mail: xiangwei580@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    甘肃省气象局创新团队(GSOXCXID-2024-01);甘肃省青年科技基金计划(23JRRA1328);干旱气象科学研究基金项目(IAM202207);中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2023J068)

Characteristics of regional heavy rain showers in eastern Gansu Province

KONG Xiangwei1,2,3(), LI Chenrui2(), DI Wenjing2, Yang Yi1, FU Zhengxu2, YANG Xiumei2,3   

  1. 1. Earth System Model Development Research Center, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China
    2. Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, Lanzhou 730020, Gansu, China
    3. Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province, Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, Gansu, China
  • Received:2024-09-02 Revised:2024-10-19 Published:2025-06-15 Online:2025-06-11

摘要:

利用2010—2021年甘肃河东地区夏季逐小时降水观测资料,筛选出50次区域性短时强降水天气过程,从天气过程的角度分析短时强降水的强度、时空分布等特征。 结果表明:(1) 每次天气过程中,短时强降水的强度主要为20~30 mm·h-1,其占比均在60%以上,超过40 mm·h-1的占比不足10%。74%的区域性短时强降水天气过程中会出现强度超过50 mm·h-1的短时强降水。(2) 区域性短时强降水主要发生在6月中旬至8月下旬,高发期为7月下旬至8月中旬,每年都会发生,但发生频次的年际间差异较大,这与西太平洋副热带高压位置、来自南海或东海的异常暖湿水汽输送及中低纬度天气系统相互作用形成显著的斜压性特征密切相关。(3) 区域性短时强降水过程的平均落区面积仅占河东地区总面积的3.17%,且短时强降水的空间分布有地域特征,高发区主要集中在太子山、秦岭西延伸段、六盘山及子午岭附近,发生频次大值中心一般伴随着超过40 mm·h-1的短时强降水。(4) 不同环流形势下短时强降水站次分布差异明显,高原槽东移型站次分布较离散,整体而言出现短时强降水站次最多;副高边缘西南气流型中位数为四种类型最低;两高切变型短时强降水出现站次比较集中,西北气流型出现站次最少。短时强降水强度的分布差异不明显,30~50 mm·h-1的降水更多出现在两高切变型中。

关键词: 甘肃河东, 短时强降水, 天气过程, 时空分布

Abstract:

Using hourly precipitation data collected from automatic weather stations (AWS) in eastern Gansu Province during the summer months from 2010 to 2021, a total of 50 regional heavy rain showers were identified. An analysis was then conducted to examine the spatiotemporal distribution and intensity of such events in eastern Gansu Province. The obtained results can be summarized as follows: (1) The intensity of the heavy rain showers primarily ranged between 20 and 30 mm·h-1, which accounted for more than 60% of such events. Intensities exceeding 40 mm·h-1 represented less than 10% of such events. Notably, short bouts of intense precipitation with intensities exceeding 50 mm·h-1 occurred in 74% of the heavy rain showers in the studied region. (2) In the studied region, heavy rain showers mainly occur from mid-June to late August, peaking in the period from late July to mid-August. While such events occur throughout the year, the interannual variability in their occurrence is significant and closely associated with the position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, the transport of abnormally warm water vapor from the South China Sea or East China Sea, and significant baroclinic features resulting from the interaction of weather systems at mid- and low latitudes. (3) The area typically affected by heavy rain showers in eastern Gansu Province accounts for only 3.17% of its total area. However, there are notable regional variations in the spatial distribution of these events, with areas struck by high-intensity rainfall being primarily located in the Taizishan region, the western section of the Qinling Mountain, Liupan Mountain, and Ziwu Mountain. Additionally, areas affected by rainfall of extreme intensity, exceeding 40 mm·h-1, are concentrated in these high-incidence centers. (4) There is a clear pattern in the distribution of stations recording heavy rain showers under different circulation patterns. Stations associated with the eastward-moving plateau trough type are dispersed and most abundant. Meanwhile, stations related to the subtropical high’s southwestern airflow type record the lowest median number of such events. Finally, stations experiencing shear between two high-pressure systems are concentrated, while those associated with the northwest airflow type are the least numerous. There was no significant difference in the distribution of the events with heavy rainfall intensity among these circulation types. However, rainfall intensities between 30 and 50 mm·h-1 are more likely to occur in the two high-shear types.

Key words: eastern Gansu Province, short-time heavy rainfall, weather events, spatiotemporal distribution