塔里木河流域碳储量的气候影响机制及地形分异下的归因

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2024.05.14

Abstract

Abstract:

Using the InVEST model, the carbon storage in the Tarim River Basin was estimated over a long period, and the spatial--temporal variation characteristic were described using trend analysis, correlation coefficients, and band set statistics to explore the overall spatial-temporal correlation between climate change and carbon storage in the study area; in addition, quantitative analysis of was performed the attribution of carbon storage in different topographic locations with the help of partial least square method. The results showed that: (1) From 2002 to 2020, the overall carbon storage level in the Tarim River Basin was low, following a horseshoe-shaped distribution characteristic (“low in the middle and high in the periphery”), and overall followed an increasing trend. (2) Carbon storage and average annual temperature, potential evapotranspiration, and average annual precipitation in the study area had the characteristics of opposite spatial distribution rather than the same spatial distribution, and the spatial differentiation was obvious. (3) The overall influence of climate factors on carbon storage followed the order: potential evapotranspiration>average annual temperature>average annual precipitation. (4) The potential evapotranspiration is the most significant variable for the levels I, III, and IV topography in the Tarim River Basin, whereas the average temperature and average precipitation are the most significant variables for the levels II and V topography in the Tarim River Basin.

Key words: carbon storage, mechanism of influence, topographic differentiation, Tarim River Basin

CHENG Xiaoyu, LYU Jiehua. Mechanism of climate influence on carbon storage in the Tarim River Basin and attribution under topographic differentiation[J].Arid Zone Research, 2024, 41(5): 865-875.

Figures/Tables 9

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土地覆盖类型	地上碳密度 /（t·km^-2）	地下碳密度 /（t·km^-2）	土壤碳密度 /（t·km^-2）	死亡有机物碳密度 /（t·km^-2）
农田	0.51	7.26	9.76	1.17
森林、灌木	3.82	10.43	21.32	1.17
草原	3.18	7.79	8.99	0.18
水域、冰雪、湿地	0	0	0	0
裸地	0.82	0	1.94	0
不透水面	0.11	0	0	0

年份	因素	碳储量	年均气温	潜在蒸散发量	年均降水量
2004年	碳储量	1	-0.11	-0.68	0.37
	年均气温	-0.11	1	0.11	-0.43
	潜在蒸散发量	-0.68	0.11	1	-0.35
	年均降水量	0.37	-0.43	-0.35	1
2012年	碳储量	1	-0.11	-0.68	0.36
	年均气温	-0.11	1	0.10	-0.45
	潜在蒸散发量	-0.68	0.10	1	-0.32
	年均降水量	0.36	-0.45	-0.32	1
2016年	碳储量	1	-0.15	-0.68	0.36
	年均气温	-0.11	1	0.09	-0.35
	潜在蒸散发量	-0.68	0.09	1	-0.31
	年均降水量	0.36	-0.35	-0.31	1
2020年	碳储量	1	-0.15	-0.69	0.37
	年均气温	-0.11	1	0.08	-0.35
	潜在蒸散发量	-0.69	0.08	1	-0.33
	年均降水量	0.37	-0.35	-0.33	1

Mechanism of climate influence on carbon storage in the Tarim River Basin and attribution under topographic differentiation

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