1990—2020年天山北坡经济带农业土地利用模式系统调查及典型模式可持续性评价

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2025.11.16

Abstract

Abstract:

The northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountains faces multiple challenges in agricultural resource utilization, including water scarcity, ecological vulnerability, and an unbalanced production structure, all of which are closely linked to patterns of agricultural land use. To address these issues, a systematic analysis and assessment of land use patterns and their sustainability is urgently needed. This study examines the evolution and transformation of agricultural land use in the region from 1990 to 2020, identifying 36 distinct utilization patterns. An evaluation framework integrating economic, ecological, and management dimensions is developed to assess the sustainability of two representative models: efficient water-saving irrigation and agricultural mechanization. The results indicate that, driven by socioeconomic progress and technological advancements, the efficient water-saving irrigation model has undergone continuous optimization, achieving the highest sustainability rating (Level I) by 2020, with notable economic, social, and ecological benefits. Similarly, agricultural mechanization has experienced rapid growth since the early 21st century, also reaching Level I by 2020, with the enhancement of mechanization capacity as its primary driver. Looking ahead, agricultural land use in the Northern Slope Economic Belt should transition toward an intelligent, efficient, and ecologically sustainable high-quality development pathway.

Key words: northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountains, land use patterns, water-saving models, agricultural mechanization model

YU Xiaotong, GUO Kang, WANG Zuojun, MA Xiaofei, WU Shuai, XU Shixian, LUO Geping. Systematic investigation of agricultural land use patterns and sustainability assessment of typical models in the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountains, 1990-2020[J].Arid Zone Research, 2025, 42(11): 2142-2152.

Figures/Tables 7

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等级	节水模式综合得分范围	年份	节水模式发展水平评价等级
I级（高）	>0.75	2020年	I级
II级（较高）	0.59~0.75	2010年、2015年	II级
III级（一般）	0.41~0.59	2005年	III级
IV级（较低）	0.16~0.41	1995年、2000年	IV级
V级（低）	<0.16	1990年	V级

等级	农机化模式综合得分范围	年份	农机化模式发展水平评价等级
I级（高）	>0.85	2020年	I级
II级（较高）	0.65~0.85	2005年、2010年、2015年	II级
III级（一般）	0.40~0.65	2000年	III级
IV级（较低）	0.03~0.41	1995年	IV级
V级（低）	<0.03	1990年	V级

障碍度排序	1990年	1995年	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2020年
1	节水灌溉面积增长率	节水灌溉面积增长率	农业GDP增长率	农业GDP增长率	节约用水率	农业GDP增长率	降低农业耕作成本率
2	区域水质改善情况	促进水资源可持续利用的影响	节水灌溉面积增长率	节水灌溉面积增长率	农村生态环境改善程度	群众节水意识	农业节水对生态环境建设贡献率
3	农民人均可支配收入增长率	有效种植面积增长率	节约用水率	有效种植面积增长率	农业节水对生态环境的贡献率	节约用水率	农村生态环境改善程度
4	节约用水率	农民人均可支配收入增长率	群众节水意识改善程度	农产品品质的改善程度	群众节水意识改善程度	农业节水对生态环境的贡献率	降低农业耕作成本率
5	农产品品质的改善程度	促进水资源可持续利用的影响	区域水质改善情况	区域水质改善情况	农产品品质的改善程度	灌溉水利用系数	灌溉水利用系数

障碍度排序	1990年	1995年	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2020年
1	机耕水平	劳均播种面积	农业劳动产值	农业劳动产值	植保机械化水平	农机人员受教育程度	千瓦农机作业收入
2	劳均播种面积	机耕水平	劳均播种面积	机耕水平	机耕水平	农业劳均播种面积	农机人员受教育程度
3	植保机械化水平	机播水平	植保机械化水平	农机技术人员拥有量	劳均播种面积	植保机械化水平	顷均农机总动力
4	机收水平	机收水平	机耕水平	植保机械化水平	农机技术人员拥有量	农机技术人员拥有量	劳均播种面积
5	千瓦农机作业收入	农机技术人员拥有量	机播水平	机播水平	农机人员受教育程度	机耕水平	农业劳动产值

Systematic investigation of agricultural land use patterns and sustainability assessment of typical models in the northern slope economic belt of Tianshan Mountains, 1990-2020

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