干旱区研究

干旱区研究 ›› 2013, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (6): 1073-1080.

• 景观生态 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于改进相对资源承载力模型的天山北坡可持续发展研究

汪菲1,2，杨德刚1，王长建1,2，张豫芳1，唐宏1,2，尹晶晶1,2   

  1. (1 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011； 2 中国科学院大学，北京 100049)
  • 收稿日期:2012-10-16 修回日期:2012-11-16 出版日期:2013-11-15 发布日期:2013-12-12
  • 通讯作者: 杨德刚. E-mail: dgyang@ms.xjb.ac.cn
  • 作者简介:汪菲(1986-)，女，在读博士，主要从事区域可持续发展与规划研究. E-mail: wangfei.sophie@gmail.com
  • 基金资助:

    中国科学院西部行动计划项目（KZCX2-XB3-01）；中国科学院“西部博士资助项目”(XBBS201108)

Sustainable Development in Northern Slope of the Tianshan Mountains Based on Improved Model of Carrying Capacity Related to Resources

WANG Fei1,2,YANG De-gang1,WANG Chang-jian1,2 ,ZHANG Yu-fang1,TANG Hong1,2,YIN Jing-jing1,2   

  1. (1. Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang,China; 2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China)
  • Received:2012-10-16 Revised:2012-11-16 Online:2013-11-15 Published:2013-12-12

PDF (PC)

708

赞

被引次数

16

摘要： 某一区域人口可持续发展的重要保障在于这一区域的自然资源及经济资源禀赋条件，特定区域人口和经济的双重合理布局是可持续发展的基础。利用改进的相对资源承载力模型，计算2000—2010年天山北坡的相对资源人口承载力和相对资源经济承载力，探讨天山北坡各县市相对资源承载力的时空演变及差异特征。研究表明：① 以新疆为参照区，近10 a来天山北坡处于人口非常富余、经济超载或严重超载阶段。② 与全疆相比，水资源是天山北坡的优势资源，土地资源是制约天山北坡人口、经济发展的劣势资源。③ 以天山北坡为参照区，相对资源人口承载力非常富余度最大的是克拉玛依市，超载最严重的是博乐市；相对资源经济承载力超载最严重的是克拉玛依市，非常富余度最大的是奇台县。④ 依据相对资源人口、经济承载力的超载或富余状态，将天山北坡各县市归为4类资源承载力匹配区。

关键词: 相对资源, 人口, 承载力, 可持续发展, 天山北坡, 新疆

Abstract: Endowment of natural and economic resources is not only an important guarantee of regional population growth, but also the basis of sustainable development. Based on the improved model of carrying capacity related to resources, in this study the values of population carrying capacity and economic carrying capacity related to resources in northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains during the period from 2000 to 2010 were calculated. The spatiotemporal evolution and difference of these two carrying capacities in 14 counties and cities were investigated. The results were as follows: ① Compared with the situation in whole Xinjiang, the population growth was high and there was an overload or serious overload of economy related to resources in northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains in recent decade; ② Compared with the situation in whole Xinjiang, water resources were advantageous to sustainable development in northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, but land resources were disadvantageous to restrict population growth and economic development; ③Compared with the situation in northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, the surplus degree of population carrying capacity related to resources was the highest in Karamay City, and the overload was the most serious in Bole City; the overload of economic carrying capacity related to resources was the most serious in Karamay City, and the surplus degree was the highest in Qitai County; ④ According to the overload status or surplus degree of population carrying capacity and economic carrying capacity related to resources in the 14 counties and cities, the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains was classified into four matching modes.

Key words: relative resource, population, carrying capacity, sustainable development, northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains, Xinjiang