基于生态系统服务价值的塔里木河干流土地利用结构优化

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2021.04.26

Abstract

Abstract:

In this study, the effect mechanism of land use and land cover change (LUCC) on ecosystem service value (ESV) in a complex environment was analyzed, and the land use structure was optimized based on ESV. The results showed that after the implementation of ecological water conveyance (EWC), the average annual variation rates of cultivated land, woodland, grassland, desert, water area in the mainstream of the Tarim River were 7.26%, 2.68%, -1.90%, 1.22% and 0.08%, respectively. The increase of cultivated land and woodland areas were mainly caused by grasslands, and the inflow of EWC increased the water areas. An increasing-decreasing-recovering tendency of time series in ESV with 299 million yuan in the lower reaches of the Tarim River was observed, and showed a decrease over all of the mainstream of Tarim River with 3.96 billion yuan. The water resources were of great significance to the stabilization and improvement of ESV in arid areas. Based on past analysis, the water area had the dominant influence on ESV, with the direct and indirect effects of 0.610 and 0.345, respectively. Based on the relationship between the different land use types, the optimal structure was calculated for the proportion of cultivated land, woodland, grassland, desert and wetland, which were 3.34%, 10.03%, 38.22%, 45.95%, and 0.96%, respectively. In this circumstance, the ESV can reach a maximum of 53.369 billion yuan. With the expansion of cultivated land areas, the contradiction between agricultural water consumption and ecological water utilization becomes more and more serious. It is of great significance to balance the characteristics of land use structure and water consumption for the maintenance of ESV and the rational allocation of water resources, which can provide a basis for exploring the optimal state of man-land relationships in the Tarim River Basin.

Key words: Land use change, ecosystem service value, optimization of land structure, mainstream of Tarim River

LIN Jing,ZHAO Chengyi,MA Xiaofei,SHI Fengzhi,WU Shixin,ZHU Jian. Optimization of land use structure based on ecosystem service value in the mainstream of Tarim river[J].Arid Zone Research, 2021, 38(4): 1140-1151.

Figures/Tables 11

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References 32

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一级地类	二级地类	一级地类	二级地类
耕地	旱地、水浇地	水体	河渠、湖泊、水库
林地	有林地、灌木林地、疏林地、其他林地	湿地	湿地、滩涂
草地	高覆盖度草地、中覆盖度草地、低覆盖度草地	建设用地	城镇用地、农村居民点用地、公交建设用地
荒漠	未利用地、盐碱地、沙地、戈壁、裸土地、石砾、其他

土地利用类型		耕地	林地	草地	水体	建设用地	荒漠	湿地	1990年
上游	耕地	511.57	36.01	48.63	1.73	26.41	1.40	0.12	625.86
	林地	153.95	660.68	288.63	45.43	0.35	188.98	16.51	1354.52
	草地	854.93	1880.78	2008.19	90.61	2.75	2105.48	15.04	6957.78
	水体	21.43	59.37	87.79	172.36	0.32	1.68	30.65	373.60
	建设用地	11.53	1.68	0.61	0.11	8.06	0.00	0.02	22.03
	荒漠	160.93	192.32	717.93	9.28	0.53	5273.95	2.96	6357.90
	湿地	16.95	41.85	16.51	5.38	0.00	0.63	1.06	82.38
	2015年	1731.30	2872.69	3168.29	324.90	38.42	7572.12	66.36	15774.07
中游	耕地	39.78	1.52	3.93	0.00	1.70	0.03	0.00	46.96
	林地	75.82	301.19	590.01	25.46	0.70	120.82	25.18	1139.19
	草地	443.35	916.30	3385.33	70.23	0.98	3795.70	67.08	8678.96
	水体	3.80	20.04	39.88	35.27	0.00	4.80	9.47	113.26
	建设用地	0.70	0.12	0.43	0.00	0.41	0.00	0.00	1.66
	荒漠	27.08	103.79	477.18	5.49	0.05	6271.17	11.41	6896.17
	湿地	22.14	30.06	205.69	17.26	0.00	14.73	20.21	310.09
	2015年	612.65	1373.03	4702.45	153.70	3.85	10207.26	133.35	17186.29
下游	耕地	263.38	16.63	33.52	0.75	4.17	4.82	0.87	324.14
	林地	12.36	182.04	96.38	3.24	0.18	50.01	4.49	348.71
	草地	160.43	255.90	1393.77	24.31	0.74	1236.93	15.32	3087.40
	水体	0.14	0.60	12.22	48.70	0.03	0.83	0.50	63.02
	建设用地	16.02	1.96	1.35	0.05	4.86	0.55	0.04	24.83
	荒漠	10.93	41.50	437.33	4.40	0.29	3646.26	3.42	4144.13
	湿地	0.00	1.01	2.16	0.60	0.00	0.00	0.00	3.77
	2015年	463.26	499.64	1976.72	82.06	10.26	4939.41	24.65	7996.01

土地类型	直接作用	间接作用				相关系数
土地类型	直接作用	耕地	林地	水体	荒漠	相关系数
耕地	-0.271	-	0.326	-0.221	-0.518	-0.684
林地	0.391	-0.226	-	-0.046	-0.485	-0.366
水体	0.610	0.098	-0.029	-	0.247	0.926^**
荒漠	-0.541	-0.260	0.351	-0.279	-	-0.728

土地利用类型	2015年现状面积/km²	百分比/%	优化面积/km²	百分比/%	ESV变化量/10⁸ 元
耕地	2807.21	6.85	1367.94	3.34	-15.87
林地	4745.36	11.59	4109.09	10.03	-22.51
草地	9847.47	24.04	15653.53	38.22	82.51
荒漠	22718.78	55.47	18819.45	45.95	-12.03
湿地	224.36	0.55	393.18	0.96	24.95

Optimization of land use structure based on ecosystem service value in the mainstream of Tarim river

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