Arid Zone Research ›› 2021, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 359-368.doi: 10.13866/j.azr.2021.02.07
• Weather and Climate • Previous Articles Next Articles
GAO Jing1,2(),JING Lihong1,3(),QIN Rong4,MAO Rong2,JING Lijun2
Received:
2020-03-27
Revised:
2020-06-11
Online:
2021-03-15
Published:
2021-04-25
Contact:
Lihong JING
E-mail:1575035865@qq.com;2271339700@qq.com
GAO Jing,JING Lihong,QIN Rong,MAO Rong,JING Lijun. Snowstorm characteristics and its relationship with atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature in Tacheng Region, Xinjiang[J].Arid Zone Research, 2021, 38(2): 359-368.
Add to citation manager EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks
Tab. 2
Correlation coefficients between snowstorms frequency and SST indices"
区域 | NTA | TNA | TSA | AMO | CAR | Ni?o1+2 | Ni?o3.4 | Ni?o3 | Ni?o4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
塔城地区 | 0.42** | 0.45** | 0.34** | 0.27* | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.28* | 0.07 | 0.31* |
塔额盆地 | 0.34** | 0.38** | 0.27* | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.26* | 0.09 | 0.29* |
南部平原 | 0.47** | 0.46** | 0.47** | 0.39** | 0.40** | 0.17 | 0.28* | 0.03 | 0.29* |
北部山地 | 0.30* | 0.30* | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.16 |
Tab. 3
Correlation coefficients between monthly snowstorms frequency and the Atlantic SST indices"
NTA | TNA | TSA | AMO | CAR | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12月 | 1月 | 3月 | 12月 | 1月 | 3月 | 11月 | 1月 | 2月 | 12月 | 1月 | 1月 | |||||
当月 | 0.30* | 0.20 | 0.34* | 0.26* | 0.20 | 0.39** | 0.32* | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.18 | ||||
前1个月 | 0.28* | 0.16 | 0.29* | 0.26* | 0.21 | 0.36** | 0.28* | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.30* | ||||
前2个月 | 0.28* | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.28* | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.32* | ||||
前3个月 | 0.29* | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.27* | 0.27* | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.27* | 0.21 | 0.33* | ||||
前4个月 | 0.26* | 0.21 | 0.04 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.25 |
Tab. 4
Correlation coefficients between monthly snowstorms frequency and Ni?o indices"
指数 | Ni?o1+2 | Ni?o4 | Ni?o3.4 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11月 | 2月 | 3月 | 11月 | 2月 | 3月 | 11月 | 2月 | 3月 | |||
当月 | 0.26* | 0.22 | -0.09 | 0.32* | 0.19 | 0.26* | 0.30* | 0.23 | 0.22 | ||
前1个月 | 0.32* | 0.28* | -0.10 | 0.28* | 0.22 | 0.26* | 0.29* | 0.25 | 0.22 | ||
前2个月 | 0.38** | 0.26* | -0.03 | 0.27* | 0.24 | 0.27* | 0.31* | 0.26* | 0.21 | ||
前3个月 | 0.25* | 0.27* | 0.01 | 0.29* | 0.28* | 0.24 | 0.33* | 0.29* | 0.22 | ||
前4个月 | 0.22 | 0.31* | -0.01 | 0.30* | 0.31* | 0.24 | 0.33* | 0.32* | 0.21 | ||
前5个月 | 0.23 | 0.38** | -0.01 | 0.28* | 0.28* | 0.21 | 0.27* | 0.31* | 0.15 | ||
前6个月 | 0.15 | 0.39** | 0.01 | 0.17 | 0.30* | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.35** | 0.13 | ||
前7个月 | 0.11 | 0.30* | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.32* | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.37** | 0.18 | ||
前8个月 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.34* | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.33* | 0.21 | ||
前9个月 | -0.08 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.28* | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.25 | 0.19 | ||
前10个月 | -0.09 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.07 | -0.03 | 0.19 | 0.07 | ||
前11个月 | -0.11 | 0.08 | 0.09 | -0.01 | 0.20 | 0.03 | -0.04 | 0.10 | -0.06 |
Tab. 5
Correlation coefficients between monthly snowstorms and atmospheric circulation indices"
环流指数 | 10月 | 11月 | 12月 | 1月 | 2月 | 3月 | 4月 | 均值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
北半球极涡面积 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.09 | -0.08 | 0.20 | -0.29* | 0.18 |
北半球极涡强度 | -0.03 | -0.08 | -0.36** | -0.15 | -0.17 | 0.18 | -0.08 | -0.39** |
亚洲区极涡面积 | 0.20 | 0.31* | 0.11 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.11 | 0.08 | -0.04 |
亚洲区极涡强度 | -0.07 | 0.40** | 0.06 | -0.01 | 0.08 | 0.33* | 0.12 | -0.12 |
北大西洋-欧洲区极涡面积 | -0.30* | -0.12 | 0.17 | 0.15 | -0.01 | 0.19 | -0.12 | 0.03 |
北大西洋-欧洲环流W型 | -0.10 | 0.16 | 0.26* | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.04 | -0.08 | 0.44** |
北大西洋-欧洲环流C型 | -0.05 | -0.24 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.19 | 0.07 | -0.37** |
北大西洋-欧洲环流E型 | 0.18 | 0.13 | -0.21 | -0.04 | -0.22 | -0.23 | 0.03 | -0.28* |
欧亚纬向环流 | -0.26* | -0.04 | -0.12 | -0.09 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.07 | -0.09 |
欧亚经向环流 | 0.30* | 0.32* | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.20 | -0.07 | -0.03 | 0.13 |
亚洲纬向环流 | -0.25 | 0.18 | -0.05 | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
亚洲经向环流 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.06 | -0.08 | -0.13 | -0.11 | -0.02 | 0.24 |
[1] | 李如琦, 唐冶, 肉孜·阿基. 2010 年新疆北部暴雪异常的环流和水汽特征分析[J]. 高原气象, 2015,34(1):155-162. |
[ Li Ruqi, Tang Ye, Rouzi Aji. Atmospheric circulation and water vapor characteristics of snowstorm anomalies in Northern Xinjiang in 2010[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2015,34(1):155-162. ] | |
[2] | 鲁安新, 冯学智, 曾群柱. 我国牧区雪灾判别因子体系及分级初探[J]. 灾害学, 1995,10(3):15-18. |
[ Lu Anxin, Feng Xuezhi, Zeng Qunzhu. Preliminary study on the system and classification of snow disaster factors in pastoral areas of China[J]. Disaster Science, 1995,10(3):15-18. ] | |
[3] | 胡列群, 张连成, 梁凤超, 等. 1960-2014年新疆气象雪灾时空分布特征研究[J]. 新疆师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2015,34(3):2-5. |
[ Hu Liequn, Zhang Liancheng, Liang Fengchao, et al. Time and space distribution characteristics research of meteorological snow disaster in Xinjiang from 1960 to 2014[J]. Journal of Xinjiang Normal University (Natural Sciences), 2015,34(3):2-5. ] | |
[4] | 王遵娅, 周海波. 影响中国北方强降雪事件年际变化的典型环流背景和水汽收支特征分析[J]. 地球物理学报, 2018,61(7):2654-2666. |
[ Wang Zunya, Zhou Haibo. Large-scale atmospheric circulations and water vapor transport influencing interannual variations of intense snowfalls in northern China[J]. Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2018,61(7):2654-2666. ] | |
[5] | 杨莲梅, 杨涛, 贾丽红, 等. 新疆大-暴雪气候特征及其水汽分析[J]. 冰川冻土, 2005,27(3):389-395. |
[ Yang Lianmei, Yang Tao, Jia Lihong, et al. Analyses of the climate characteristic and water vapor of heavy snow in Xinjiang Region[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2005,27(3):389-395. ] | |
[6] | 董啸, 周顺武, 胡中明, 等. 近50年来东北地区暴雪时空分布特征[J]. 气象, 2010,36(12):74-79. |
[ Dong Xiao, Zhou Shunwu, Hu Zhongming, et al. Characteristics of temporal and spatial variation of heavy snowfall in Northeast China in recent 50 years[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2010,36(12):74-79. ] | |
[7] | 陈长胜, 王盘兴, 杨秀峰, 等. 东北地区暴雪天气的统计学划分方法及其时空分布特征[J]. 地理科学, 2012,32(10):1276-1028. |
[ Chen Changsheng, Wang Panxing, Yang Xiufeng, et al. Classification and feature spatio-temporal of snowstorms in Northeast China[J]. Scientic Geographica Sinica, 2012,32(10):1276-1028. ] | |
[8] | 林志强, 假拉, 薛改萍, 等. 1980-2010年西藏高原大-暴雪的时空分布和环流特征[J]. 高原气象, 2014,33(4):900-906. |
[ Lin Zhiqiang, Ja La, Xue Gaiping, et al. Spatial-temporal distribution and general circulation characteristics of heavy snowfall over Tibet Plateau during 1980-2010[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2014,33(4):900-906. ] | |
[9] | 胡中明. 中高纬暴雪形成的统计分析与机理研究[D]. 南京: 南京气象学院, 2003. |
[ Hu Zhongming. Statistical Analysis and Mechanism Study of Snowstorm in Middle and High Latitudes[D]. Nanjing: Nanjing Meteorological Institute, 2003. ] | |
[10] | 吴庆梅, 杨波, 王国荣, 等. 北京地区一次回流暴雪过程的锋区特征分析[J]. 高原气象, 2014,33(2):539-547. |
[ Wu Qingmei, Yang Bo, Wang Guorong, et al. Analysis of the frontal characteristics of backflow snowstorm process in Beijing[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2014,33(2):539-547. ] | |
[11] | 杨晓霞, 吴炜, 万明波, 等. 山东省两次暴雪天气的对比分析[J]. 气象, 2012,38(7):868-876. |
[ Yang Xiaoxia, Wu Wei, Wan Mingbo, et al. Comparative analysis of two snowstorms in Shandong Province[J]. Meteorology, 2012,38(7):868-876. ] | |
[12] | 彭九慧, 杨雷斌. 华北地区一次局地暴雪天气过程的诊断分析[J]. 干旱气象, 2008,26(1):64-68. |
[ Peng Jiuhui, Yang Leibin. Diagnosis and analysis of a local snowstorm in North China[J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2008,26(1):64-68. ] | |
[13] | 王宁, 秦玉琳, 姚帅, 等. 不同触发条件下吉林省一次极端暴雪大风天气过程诊断分析[J]. 气象与环境学报, 2017,33(3):1-9. |
[ Wang Ning, Qin Yulin, Yao Shuai, et al. Diagnostic analysis of an extreme snowstorm in Jilin Province under different triggering conditions[J]. Journal of Meteorology and Environment, 2017,33(3):1-9. ] | |
[14] | 贾宏元, 赵光平, 沈跃琴, 等. 宁夏一次大暴雪天气过程的物理成因[J]. 干旱气象, 2007,25(4):36-40. |
[ Jia Hongyuan, Zhao Guangping, Shen Yueqin, et al. Analysis on causes of a heavy snowstorm in Ningxia[J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2007,25(4):36-40. ] | |
[15] | 姚蓉, 叶成志, 田莹, 等. 2011年初湖南暴雪过程的成因和数值模拟分析[J]. 气象, 2012,38(7):848-857. |
[ Yao Rong, Ye Chengzhi, Tian Ying, et al. The numerical simulation analysis and causes and of snowstorm occurring procession Hunan, early 2011[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2012,38(7):848-857. ] | |
[16] | 庄晓翠, 崔彩霞, 李博渊, 等. 新疆北部暖区强降雪中尺度环境与落区分析[J]. 高原气象, 2016,35(1):129-142. |
[ Zhuang Xiaocui, Cui Caixia, Li Boyuan, et al. Analysis of warm zone mesoscale environment and heavy snowfall drop zone in northern Xinjiang[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2016,35(1):129-142. ] | |
[17] | Smith Shawn R, James J O. Regional snowfall distributions associated with ENSO: Implications for seasonal forecasting[J]. Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 2001,82(6):1179-1191. |
[18] | Mason S J, Goddard L. Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO[J]. Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 2001,82(4):619-638. |
[19] | 李多, 肖子牛, 李泽椿. 中国东部北方地区冬季降雪的时空特征及其与全球异常海温的联系[J]. 气象, 2012,38(4):411-418. |
[ Li Duo, Xiao Ziniu, Li Zechun. The spatial and temporal characteristics of winter snowfall in Northeast China and its relation with global sea surface temperature anomaly[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2012,38(4):411-418. ] | |
[20] | 甄英, 杨珊, 何静, 等. 基于M-K检验法与R/S法的宜宾市降水量分析[J]. 四川师范大学学报, 2017,40(3):392-397. |
[ Zhen Ying, Yang Shan, He Jing, et al. Analysis of precipitation in Yibin City based on M-K test and R/S method[J]. Journal of Sichuan Normal University, 2017,40(3):392-397. ] | |
[21] | 庄晓翠, 李博渊, 张林梅, 等. 新疆阿勒泰地区冬季大到暴雪气候变化特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2013,36(6):1013-1022. |
[ Zhuang Xiaocui, Li Boyuan, Zhang Linmei, et a1. Heavy snowstorm characteristics of climatic change in winter in Altay Xinjiang[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2013,36(6):1013-1022. ] | |
[22] | 柴晶品, 刁一娜. 北大西洋涛动指数变化与北半球冬季阻塞活动[J]. 大气科学, 2011,35(2):326-338. |
[ Chai Jingpin, Diao Yina. The effect of the variation of the North Atlantic Oscillation on winter blocking activities in the Northern Hemisphere[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2011,35(2):326-338. ] | |
[23] | 帅嘉冰, 郭品文, 庞子琴. 中国冬季降水与AO关系的年代际变化[J]. 高原气象, 2012,29(5):1126-1136. |
[ Shuai Jiabing, Guo Pinwen, Pang Ziqin. Inter-decadal variation of the relationship between AO and Winter Precipitation in China[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2012,29(5):1126-1136. ] | |
[24] | 杨莲梅, 史玉光, 汤浩. 新疆北部降水异常成因[J]. 应用气象学报, 2010,21(4):491-499. |
[ Yang Lianmei, Shi Yuguang, Tang Hao. Causes of precipitation anomalies in northern Xinjiang[J]. Journal of Applied Meteorological Science, 2010,21(4):491-499. ] | |
[25] | 王建. 现代自然地理学[M]. 北京: 高等教育出版社, 2002: 97-101. |
[ Wang Jian. Modern Physical Geography[M]. Beijing: Higher Education Press, 2002: 97-101. ] | |
[26] | 谢培, 张小虎, 乔飞. 新疆极端降水时空特征及其对ENSO影响的响应研究[J]. 气象研究与应用, 2018,40(3):5-12. |
[ Xie Pei, Zhang Xiaohu, Qiao Fei. Spatial and temporal characteristics of extreme precipitation in Xinjiang and its response to ENSO[J]. Journal of Meteorological Research and Application, 2018,40(3):5-12. ] | |
[27] | 张丽娟, 陈红, 刘栋, 等. 黑龙江省暴雪时空分布特征与发生风险研究[J]. 冰川冻土, 2011,33(4):721-728. |
[ Zhang Lijuan, Chen Hong, Liu Dong, et al. Study of space-time distribution and risk division of snowstorm in Heilongjiang Province[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2011,33(4):721-728. ] | |
[28] | IPCC. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the IntergovErnmental Panel on Climate Change[M]. New York: Cambridge University Press. 2014: 1535. |
[29] | 梅笑冬. 北大西洋海温对NAO型大气环流异常的影响研究[D]. 青岛: 中国海洋大学, 2015. |
[ Mei Xiaodong. An Impact Study of North Atlantic SST on NAO-like Circulation[D]. Qingdao: Ocean University of China, 2015. ] | |
[30] | 姚遥, 罗德海. 北大西洋涛动—欧洲阻塞及其对极端暴雪的研究进展[J]. 地球科学进展, 2016,31(6):581-594. |
[ Yao Yao, Luo Dehai. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Europe blocking and their impacts on extreme snowstorms: A review[J]. Advances in Earth Science, 2016,31(6):581-594. ] |
[1] | WANG Dai, LI Xin, ZHANG Wen, MA Yang, WANG Suyan, LI Jiayao. Synergistic effects of sea surface temperature and sea ice on the anomalous characteristics of precipitation distribution during the flood season in Ningxia [J]. Arid Zone Research, 2024, 41(8): 1288-1299. |
[2] | ZHANG Wen, MA Yang, WANG Dai, YANG Jianling, CUI Yang. The influence and prediction of SST predictors at different timescales on summer precipitation over the eastern part of Northwest China [J]. Arid Zone Research, 2023, 40(4): 532-542. |
[3] | LUO Chengyan,CHEN Fulong,HE Chaofei,LONG Aihua,QIAO Changlu. Applicability of CMADS in runoff simulation of Yulong Kashi River [J]. Arid Zone Research, 2022, 39(4): 1090-1101. |
|