青海省不同等级寒冷日数时空演变特征

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2024.05.03

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the daily minimum temperature measured at 42 meteorological stations in Qinghai Province from 1961 to 2019, the spatial and temporal evolution of different grades of cold days (extreme cold, extremely cold, severe cold, major cold, minor cold, light cold, slightly cold, cool) were analyzed. The results showed that: (1) From 1961 to 2019, the number of cold days in Qinghai Province gradually increased with decreasing levels, mainly dominated by slightly cold days. The total number of cold days showed an overall decreasing trend, with a significant rapid decrease occurring in 1995. The decrease in total cold days was mainly caused by the reduction in extremely cold days. After the climate abrupt change in 1997, the trends of severe cold, major cold, minor cold, light cold, slightly cold, and total cold days decreased, while the trend of extremely cold days increased. The trends of extreme cold and cool days decreased and increased respectively, with a distribution roughly equal. (2) Qinghai Province exhibits significant spatial differences in cold days, with the total number of cold days gradually increasing with altitude, and the trends of higher-level cold days are more pronounced. As the level of coldness decreases, the trends of increase and decrease develop towards lower latitudes and areas with relatively lower altitudes. (3) The numbers of extreme cold, extremely cold, severe cold, light cold, slightly cold, and total cold days gradually decrease with increasing annual mean temperature, while the numbers of major cold, minor cold, and cool days gradually increase with increasing annual mean temperature. (4) Except for severe cold days, the numbers of other levels of cold days in Qinghai Province show persistence, and the downward trend will continue in the future, but the strength of persistence varies.

Key words: cold days, space-time evolution, mutation characteristics, future trends, Qinghai Province

CAI Yuqin, QI Donglin, WANG Liefu, LI Haifeng, ZHANG Deqin. Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of different grades of cold days in Qinghai Province[J].Arid Zone Research, 2024, 41(5): 742-752.

Figures/Tables 10

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References 30

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年代	总寒冷	极寒	酷寒	严寒	大寒	小寒	轻寒	微寒	凉
1961s—1970s	7.3	0.7	11.7	3.9	-1.4	-4.5	0.1	1.3	-4.2
1971s—1980s	5.0	0.3	3.6	2.0	-0.1	-0.2	1.2	0.2	-2.0
1981s—1990s	4.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	1.3	0.6	2.2	0.6	-1.0
1991s—2000s	0.3	0.1	-0.1	-0.5	0.0	0.4	-0.1	-0.1	0.3
2001s—2010s	-9.0	-0.7	-8.3	-3.1	0.1	2.1	-1.9	-0.7	3.7
2011s—2019s	-11.2	-0.7	-9.5	-4.1	-0.6	2.6	-1.4	-1.2	3.7

寒冷等级	寒冷日数/d				寒冷日数变化趋势/[d·（10a）^-1]
寒冷等级	1961—2019年	1961—1997年	1998—2019年	差异	1961—2019年	1961—1997年	1998—2019年	差异
极寒	1.3	1.7	0.7	-1.0	-0.3	-0.1	-0.1	0.0
酷寒	28.9	33.3	21.4	-11.9	-4.1	-4.3	-3.4	0.9
严寒	37.6	39.2	34.8	-4.4	-1.5	-1.5	-1.9	-0.4
大寒	46.2	46.1	46.5	0.4	0.3	0.9	-0.9	-1.8
小寒	49.1	48.0	51.1	3.2	1.2	1.8	0.6	-1.2
轻寒	56.7	57.8	54.7	-3.1	-0.6	0.7	0.2	-0.5
微寒	63.3	63.9	62.3	-1.6	-0.5	-0.3	-0.8	-0.6
凉	53.8	51.8	57.2	5.4	1.7	1.3	1.3	0.0
总寒冷	336.9	341.7	328.8	-13.0	-3.7	-1.6	-5.0	-3.4

寒冷等级	寒冷日数			寒冷日数变化趋势
寒冷等级	复相关系数	F	Sig	复相关系数	F	Sig
极寒	0.535	5.071	0.005	0.602	7.201	0.001
酷寒	0.881	44.043	0.000	0.625	8.109	0.000
严寒	0.824	26.810	0.000	0.697	11.962	0.000
大寒	0.353	1.804	0.163	0.676	10.654	0.000
小寒	0.764	17.729	0.000	0.621	7.967	0.000
轻寒	0.872	40.349	0.000	0.713	13.106	0.000
微寒	0.526	4.838	0.006	0.518	4.655	0.007
凉	0.842	30.737	0.000	0.712	13.050	0.000
总寒冷	0.890	48.150	0.000	0.804	23.171	0.000

	总寒冷	极寒	酷寒	严寒	大寒	小寒	轻寒	微寒	凉
Hurst指数	0.87	0.54	0.61	0.49	0.60	0.62	0.80	0.57	0.55
Hurst指数等级	5	1	2	-1	2	2	4	2	1
持续性强度	很强	很弱	较弱	很弱	较弱	较弱	强	较弱	很弱

Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of different grades of cold days in Qinghai Province

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