2套气象数据在资料缺乏地区的适用性评估——以呼图壁河流域为例

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2022.01.10

Abstract

Abstract:

In ungauged areas, a lack of observational data (e.g., precipitation and temperature data) can affect the accuracy of flood forecasting, which in turn affects the implementation of flood control, drought relief, and water resources planning. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct applicability analysis of existing precipitation and temperature data in ungauged areas. By applying the HBV (Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning) model, including a snowmelt runoff simulation, to the area upstream of the Shimen hydrological station in the Hutubi River Basin, and based on a comparison of simulated snowmelt flood runoff and measured runoff, a dataset including gridded daily precipitation and temperature in China and observational data from meteorological stations were analyzed and compared. The applicability of the snowmelt runoff simulation was also analyzed. Results showed that the snowmelt runoff simulation was more effective when used with the hydrological model driven by grid data than with the hydrological model driven by station observation data. The Nash coefficients of the snowmelt runoff from the hydrological model driven by grid data and the hydrological model driven by station observation data were 0.792 and 0.433, respectively, within the verification period. In addition, some characteristics of the snowmelt floods in the Hutubi River Basin were analyzed and the possible causes of errors in the simulated snowmelt runoff were also assessed based on differences in driving data. These results can help improve the accuracy of snowmelt flood forecasts in areas that lack data on snowmelt characteristics.

Key words: precipitation data, ungauged area, snowmelt flood, runoff forecast, applicability assessment, Hutubi River Basin

SUN Mingyue,LYU Haishen,ZHU Yonghua,LIN Yu,ZHANG Meijie. Applicability assessment of two meteorological datasets in areas lacking data with the Hutubi River Basin as an example[J].Arid Zone Research, 2022, 39(1): 94-103.

Figures/Tables 5

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References 25

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模块	参数	参数含义	参数范围	率定结果	参考文献
融雪与积雪模块	TT	阈值温度/℃	-1.0~2.7	2.40	[25]
融雪与积雪模块	DD	度日因子/(mm·℃^-1·d^-1)	0.5~4.0	0.5	[22]
有效降水与土壤含水量模块	FC	最大土壤持水量/mm	100~450	132.88	[25]
有效降水与土壤含水量模块	β	形状系数	1~5	2.3	[25]
蒸散发模块	PWP	蒸散发达到潜在蒸散发时的土壤水量/mm	90~180	106	[21]
径流响应模块	k₀	地表径流退水系数/d^-1	0.05~0.2	0.0500	[21]
	l₀	阈值水位/mm	2~5	2	[21]
	k₁	壤中流退水系数/d^-1	0.01~0.2	0.0143	[25]
	k₂	基流退水系数/d^-1	0.001~0.1	0.0050	[25]
	k_p	渗透系数/d^-1	0.01~0.05	0.0200	[21]

时期	驱动数据	年份	NSE	MRE/%
率定期	融合数据	2000—2007	0.680	1.63
验证期	站点数据	2008—2011	0.433	14.64
验证期	格点数据	2008—2011	0.792	2.44

Applicability assessment of two meteorological datasets in areas lacking data with the Hutubi River Basin as an example

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