Arid Zone Research ›› 2016, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 943-951.doi: 10.13866/j.azr.2016.05.05

• Climatic Change • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Spatiotemporal Variation of Extreme Precipitation Events in Tajikistan during the Period of 1901-2013

WU Yan-feng1, Bake Bater1, LUO Na-na1, LI Wei1, WEI Xiao-qin1, Rasulov H2   

  1. 1. College of Prataculture and Environmental Sciences, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, Xinjiang,China;
    2. Faculty of Hydrometeorology, Tajik Agrarian University, Dushanbe 734003, Tajikistan
  • Received:2014-12-25 Revised:2015-03-28 Online:2016-09-15 Published:2016-09-28

Abstract: Changes in extreme precipitation events exert a huge impact on human beings, and it is of vital importance to study the regular patterns of meteorological and hydrological factors under climate change. Based on the monthly 0.5°×0.5° gridded evapotranspiration and precipitation data during the period of 1901-2013 from Climate Research Unite (CRU), the spatiotemporal variation of extreme precipitation events in Tajikistan was analyzed by the methods of trend analysis, Mann-Kendall and wavelet analysis. The results are as follows:① The frequencies of annual, spring, autumn and winter extreme precipitation events were all in an increase trend with increase rates of 0.33 times·(10a)-1, 0.15 times·(10a)-1, 0.07 times·(10a)-1 and 0.20 times·(10a)-1respectively. The frequency of extreme precipitation events in summer was in a slight decrease trend. There were the obvious abrupt changes in frequencies of annual and seasonal extreme precipitation events; ② The frequencies of annual, spring, autumn and winter precipitation extreme events were high in Gorno-Badakhshan but low in the northwestern region of Khatlon and the northern region of Leninabad. However, they were high in the western region of Gorno-Badakhshan, northern region of Leninabad and eastern region of Khatlon but low in the westernmost and eastern parts of Tajikistan. The extreme precipitation events were in a significant increase trend in the eastern region of Khatlon and Tadzhikista Territories. The significant increase of frequency of extreme precipitation events indicated that there was a significant humidification in Tajikistan under climate change. This paper can provide a reference for the research on the spatial and temporal variation of water resources and the management and planning of water resources in Tajikistan under global warming.

Key words: precipitation extreme event, spatiotemporal variation, Tajikistan