›› 2012, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 35-40.

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Analysis on Variation of Precipitation in Flood Season in North Xinjiang

ZHAO Yong1,HUANG Dan-qing2,YANG Qing1   

    1. 1. Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorology Administration, Urumqi 830002, China
    2. College of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
  • Received:2010-11-11 Revised:2011-01-19 Online:2012-01-15 Published:2012-02-27

Abstract: It was pointed out by IPCC’s fourth assessment report in 2007 that precipitation in many regions between 30° N and 80° N was in an obvious increase trend. With global warming, the extreme climate events occurred frequently in recent 20 years. Xinjiang is famous by its arid and semiarid regions, and precipitation occurs mainly in rainy season. Many research achievements showed that it had become warmer and wetter since 1987, but it needs to be further studied. In this paper, the variation of precipitation in flood season was analyzed based on the daily precipitation data from 43 meteorological stations in north Xinjiang during the period of 1961-2007. The results showed that the occurring days and intensity of slight, moderate and heavy precipitation in north Xinjiang were all in an increase trend, especially that of heavy precipitation after 2000. The analyzed results indicated that the total precipitation in flood season in north Xinjiang increased during the rainy period (1987-2007) compared with that during the dry period (1961-1986), and the precipitation increase was mainly caused by the increase of slight and moderate precipitation in northwest Xinjiang, but by heavy precipitation in the Tianshan Mountain and its northern piedmont as well as the Yili Valley. The long dry events were in a decreasing trend, especially in recent 10 years, but the long rainy ones were in an increasing trend.

Key words: precipitation days, precipitation intensity, flood season, Xinjiang