Evolution characteristics of precipitation resources pattern in Ningxia
Received date: 2020-05-19
Revised date: 2020-10-27
Online published: 2021-06-17
Ningxia is in the east of Northwest China,and although it is only more than 400 kilometers from north to south,its climate is quite different. In this paper,the characteristics of the precipitation resources pattern evolution in Ningxia under the background of warm-humid in northwest are analyzed,including the precipitation, the difference between potential evapotranspiration and precipitation,the length of continuous “wet” and “dry” processes,the key isohyets of 200 mm and 400 mm,and precipitation intensity and days of different grades and their contribution to precipitation,the relationship between precipitation and water consumption. The results show that: (1) The annual precipitation decreased on the whole,but the stages characteristics and the regional and seasonal difference were higher. Only the precipitation in spring increased around the year of warm-humid in northwest (1983), but which in all regions and seasons increased since 2011 and was more than that of 1961-1982 and 1983-2010. (2) The higher regional difference of precipitation increasing-range and the regional annual unsynchronism,especially the variation difference between medium and large rainfall made the difference of precipitation between regions more and more big and the probability of “warm-wet” and “warm-dry” phenomenon occur at the same time between the north and the South increases. (3) The potential evapotranspiration increasing and the precipitation decreasing made the difference between evapotranspiration and precipitation increase,which in spring and in autumn separately in the Middle North region and in southern mountains was the most. (4) In the Yellow River Diversion Irrigation Area,the continuous drought process increased,but there was no increase trend of the continuous rainy month,and drought in spring,summer or even in spring and summer was still frequent,so the proportion of agricultural water consumption was still large. While the continuous drought process was shortened and the continuous rainy months increased in the south central part. (5) The 200 mm isoline had a southward trend,and the west side of the 400 mm isoline had a southward trend, and which moved northward with the increase of precipitation. (6) The total days of precipitation decreased and the intensity of precipitation increased. The number of light rainy days in all regions and seasons decreased,and most of the precipitation intensity increased. The contribution rate changed remarkably of moderate and heavy rainfall in spring,all of the four magnitudes rainfall in summer and light and heavy rainfall in autumn. Then the changes of moderate and heavy rainfall in spring, heavy and rainstorm rainfall in summer, light and moderate rainfall in autumn played an important role in the change of total rainfall. The precipitation resources pattern evolution in Ningxia had both advantages and disadvantages,and on the whole, the precipitation increase since 2011 was conducive to the restoration of ecological environment,but it would also increase the extreme precipitation and rainless days also,and the risk of urban waterlogging, mountain flood and debris flow. At the same time,the precipitation difference increasing between the north and the South made the difficulty of disaster prevention and mitigation increase.
WANG Suyan,LI Xin,WANG Fan,MA Yang,ZHANG Wen,HUANG Ying,GAO Ruina . Evolution characteristics of precipitation resources pattern in Ningxia[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2021 , 38(3) : 733 -746 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2021.03.15
[1] | 陈晓光. 西北区域气候变化评估报告[M]. 北京: 中国科学技术出版社, 2013: 1-10. |
[1] | [ Chen Xiaoguang. Northwest Regional Climate Change Assessment Report[M]. Beijing: China Science and Technology Press, 2013: 1-10. ] |
[2] | 施雅风, 沈永平, 胡汝骥. 西北气候由暖干向暖湿转型的信号、影响和前景初步探讨[J]. 冰川冻土, 2002,24(3):219-226. |
[2] | [ Shi Yafeng, Shen Yongping, Hu Ruji. Preliminary study on signal, impact and foreground of climatic shift from warm-dry to warm-humid in northwest China[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2002,24(3):219-226. ] |
[3] | 施雅风, 沈永平, 李栋梁, 等. 中国西北气候由暖干向暖湿转型的特征和趋势探讨[J]. 第四纪研究, 2003,23(2):152-164. |
[3] | [ Shi yafeng, Shen Yongping, Li Dongliang, et al. Discussion on the present climate change from warm-dry to warm-wet in northwest China[J]. Quaternary Sciences, 2003,23(2):152-164. ] |
[4] | 张强, 张存杰, 白虎志, 等. 西北地区气候变化新动态及对干旱环境的影响——总体暖干化, 局部出现暖湿迹象[J]. 干旱气象, 2010,28(1):1-7. |
[4] | [ Zhang Qiang, Zhang Cunjie, Bai Huzhi, et al. New development of climate change in northwest China and its impact on arid environment[J] . Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2010,28(1):1-7. ] |
[5] | 张强. 科学看待西北地区气候暖湿化现象[EB/OL]. https://www.ncc-cma.net/Website/index.php?NewsID=11231, 2020-01-16. |
[5] | [ Zhang Qiang. Scientific view on the phenomenon of climate warm-humid in northwest China[EB/OL]. https://www.ncc-cma.net/Website/index.php?NewsID=11231, 2020-01-16. ] |
[6] | 刘维成, 张强, 傅朝. 近55年来中国西北地区降水变化特征及影响因素分析[J]. 高原气象, 2017,36(6):1533-1542. |
[6] | [ Liu Weicheng, Zhang Qiang, Fu Zhao. Variation characteristics of precipitation and its affecting factors in northwest China over the past 55 years[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2017,36(6):1533-1545. ] |
[7] | 张强, 林婧婧, 刘维成, 等. 西北地区东部与西部汛期降水跷跷板变化现象及其形成机制[J]. 中国科学(地球科学), 2019,49(12):2064-2078. |
[7] | [ Zhang Qiang, Lin Jingjing, Liu Weicheng, et al. Precipitation seesaw phenomenon and its formation mechanism in the eastern and western parts of northwest China during flood season[J]. Science China (Earth Sciences), 2019,49(12):2064-2078. ] |
[8] | 耿国彪. 三北工程40年宁夏中卫用“草方格”护卫着“塞上江南”[J]. 绿色中国, 2018(20):70-73. |
[8] | [ Geng Guobiao. 40 Years of Sanbei project Zhongwei in Ningxia uses the grass square to protect the south of the river[J]. Green China, 2018(20):70-73. ] |
[9] | 田巍. 宁夏引黄灌区重点湖泊生态需水量测算及再生水补水方案研究[J]. 中国农村水利水电, 2018(12):45-48. |
[9] | [ Tian Wei. Ecological water demand and reclaimed water recharge scheme of key lakes in the Yellow River Irrigation Area of Ningxia[J]. China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2018(12):45-48. ] |
[10] | 李艳春, 李艳芳. 宁夏近百年来的气候变化及突变分析[J]. 高原气象, 2001,20(1):100-104. |
[10] | [ Li Yanchun, Li Yanfang. Period and jump analyses of climatic variation in Ningxia in recent hundred years[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2001,20(1):100-104. ] |
[11] | 陈晓光, 苏占胜, 郑广芬, 等. 宁夏气候变化的事实分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2005,19(6):43-47. |
[11] | [ Chen Xiaoguang, Su Zhansheng, Zheng Guangfen, et al. Analysis on climatic changes in Ningxia[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2005,19(6):43-47. ] |
[12] | 郑广芬, 陈晓光, 孙银川, 等. 宁夏气温、降水、蒸发的变化及其对气候变暖的响应[J]. 气象科学, 2006,26(4):412-421. |
[12] | [ Zheng Guangfen, Chen Xiaoguang, Sun Yinchuan, et al. The changes of temperature, precipitation, evaporation and their response to the climate warming[J]. Scientia Meteorological Sinica, 2006,26(4):412-421. ] |
[13] | 于淑秋, 林学椿, 徐祥德. 我国西北地区近50年降水和温度的变化[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2003,8(1):10-19. |
[13] | [ Yu Shuqiu, Lin Xuechun, Xu Xiangde. The climatic change in northwest China in recent 50 years[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2003,8(1):10-19. ] |
[14] | 王剑林, 陈建军, 高龙龙. 宁夏气候时空变化特征分析[J]. 河南农业, 2017,32(11):35-36. |
[14] | [ Wang Jianlin, Chen Jianjun, Gao Longlong. Analysis on the characteristics of climate change in Ningxia[J]. Agriculture of Henan, 2017,32(11):37-38. ] |
[15] | 王晖, 隆霄, 马旭林, 等. 近50a中国西北地区东部降水特征[J]. 干旱区研究, 2013,30(4):712-718. |
[15] | [ Wang Hui, Long Xiao, Ma Xulin, et al. Precipitation in the eastern part of northwest China in recent 50 years[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2013,30(4):712-718. ] |
[16] | 商沙沙, 廉丽姝, 马婷, 等. 近54a中国西北地区气温和降水的时空变化特征[J]. 干旱区研究, 2018,35(1):68-75. |
[16] | [ Shang Shasha, Lian Lishu, Ma Ting, et al. Spatiotemporal variation of temperature and precipitation in northwest China in recent 54 years[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2018,35(1):68-75. ] |
[17] | 陈冬冬, 戴永久. 近五十年我国西北地区降水强度变化特征[J]. 大气科学, 2009,33(5):35-47. |
[17] | [ Chen Dongdong, Dai Yongjiu. Characteristics of northwest China rainfall intensity in recent 50 years[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 2009,33(5):35-47. ] |
[18] | 张冰, 刘宣飞, 郑广芬, 等. 宁夏夏季极端降水日数的变化规律及其成因[J]. 大气科学学报, 2018,41(2):176-185. |
[18] | [ Zhang Bing, Liu Xuanfei, Zheng Guangfen, et al. Variation of the days of extreme precipitation in Ningxia in summer and its causes[J]. Journal of Atmospheric Science, 2018,41(2):176-185. ] |
[19] | 魏凤英. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 1999. |
[19] | [ Wei Fengying. Modern Climate Statistical Diagnosis and Prediction Technology[M]. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 1999. ] |
[20] | Allen R G, Pereira L S, Raes D, et al. Crop evapotranspiration-guidelines for computing crop water requirements-FAO irrigation and drainage paper 56 Fao,Rome, 1998,300, D05109. |
[21] | 李欣, 王素艳, 郑广芬, 等. 不同分布型El Nino事件次年宁夏春季降水的差异[J]. 干旱气象, 2016,34(2):290-296. |
[21] | [ Li Xin, Wang Suyan, Zheng Guangfen, et al. Impacts of different types El Nino events on the next spring precipitation in Ningxia[J]. Journal of Arid Meteorology, 2016,34(2):290-296. ] |
[22] | 杨建玲, 李艳春, 穆建华, 等. 热带印度洋海温与西北地区东部降水关系研究[J]. 高原气象, 2015,34(3):690-699. |
[22] | [ Yang Jianling, Li Yanchun, Mu Jianhua, et al. Analysis of relationship between sea surface temperature in tropical Indian Ocean and precipitation in east of Northwest China[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2015,34(3):690-699. ] |
[23] | 中华人民共和国国家质量监督检验检疫总局, 中国国家标准化管理委员会. GB20481-2017. 中华人民共和国国家标准:气象干旱等级[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2017. |
[23] | [ General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People's Republic of China, Inspection and Quarantine of the People's Republic of China,National Standardization Administration of China, GB20481-2017. National Standard of the People’s Republic of China: Grades of metrorological drought[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2017. ] |
[24] | 肖国举, 张强, 李裕, 等. 气候变暖对宁夏引黄灌区土壤盐分及其灌水量的影响[J] . 农业工程学报, 2010,26(6):7-13. |
[24] | [ Xiao Guoju, Zhang Qiang, Li Yu, et al. Impact of climatic warming on soil salinity and irrigation amount of Yellow River irrigation areas in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region[J]. Transactions of the CSAE, 2010,26(6):7-13. ] |
[25] | 冯克鹏, 田军仓. 宁夏地区气候变化及其对农业灌溉用水量的影响研究[J]. 灌溉排水学报, 2014,3(4):218-223. |
[25] | [ Feng Kepeng, Tian Juncang. Climate change and its impact on agricultural irrigation water requirement in Ningxia[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2014,33(4):218-223. ] |
[26] | 姚俊强, 杨青, 毛炜峄, 等. 西北干旱区大气水分循环要素变化研究进展[J]. 干旱区研究, 2018,35(2):269-276. |
[26] | [ Yao Junqiang, Yang Qing, Mao Weiyi, et al. Progress of study on variation of atmospheric water cycle factors over arid region in Northwest China[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2018,35(2):269-276. ] |
/
〈 | 〉 |