QI Gui-zeng, BAI Hong-ying, MENG Qing, ZHAO Ting, GUO Shao-zhuang .

Climate Change in the Qinling Mountains in Spring during 1959-2018[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2019 , 36(5) : 1079 -1091 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2019.05.04

[1]Elizbarashvili M,Elizbarashvili E,Tatishvili M，et al.Georgian climate change under global warming conditions[J].Annals of Agrarian Science,2017,15(1)：17-25. [2]Ofipcc W G I.Climate change 2013:The physical science basis[J].Contribution of Working,2013,43(22):866-871. [3]Battisti D S,Naylor R L.Historical warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat[J].Science,2009,323(5 911):240-244. [4]吴绍洪,尹云鹤,郑度,等.青藏高原近30年气候变化趋势[J].地理学报,2005,60(1):3-11.[Wu Shaohong,Yin Yunhe,Zheng Du,et al.Climate changes in the Tibetan Plateau during the last three decades[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2005,60(1):3-11.] [5]施雅风,沈永平,胡汝骥.西北气候由暖干向暖湿转型的信号、影响和前景初步探讨[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(3):219-226.[Shi Yafeng,Shen Yongping,Hu Ruji.Preliminary study on signal,impact and foreground of climatic shift from warmdry to warmhumid in Northwest China[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2002,24(3):219-226.] [6]商沙沙,廉丽姝,马婷,等.近54 a中国西北地区气温和降水的时空变化特征[J].干旱区研究,2018,35(1):68-76.[Shang Shasha,Lian Lishu,Ma Ting,et al.The temporal and spatial characteristics of temperature and precipitation in Northwestern China in recent 54 years[J].Arid Zone Research,2018,35(1):68-76.] [7]《第三次气候变化国家评估报告》编写委员会.第三次气候变化国家评估报告[M].北京：科学出版社,2015.[The Third China’s National Assessment Report on Climate Change Compile Committee.Third China’s National Assessment Report on Climate Change[M].Beijing:Science Press,2015.] [8]白红英.秦巴山区森林植被对环境变化的响应[M].北京:科学出版社,2014.[Bai Hongying.The Response of Vegetation to Environmental Change in Qinba Mountains[M].Beijing:Science Press,2014.] [9]李双双,延军平,万佳.全球气候变化下秦岭南北气温变化特征[J].地理科学,2012,32(7):853-858.[Li Shuangshuang,Yan Junping,Wan Jia.The characteristics of temperature change in Qinling Mountains[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2012,32(7):853-858.] [10]马新萍.秦岭林线及其对气候变化的响应[D].西安:西北大学,2015.[Ma Xinping.Qinling Mountains Timberline and Its Response to Climate Change[D].Xi’an:Northwest University,2015.] [11]高翔,白红英,张善红,等.1959—2009年秦岭山地气候变化趋势研究[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(1):207-211.[Gao Xiang,Bai Hongying,Zhang Shanhong,et al.Climatic change tendency in Qinling Mountains from 1959 to 2009[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2012,32(1):207-211.] [12]康慕谊,朱源.秦岭山地生态分界线的论证[J].生态学报,2007,27(7):2 774-2 784.[Kang Muyi,Zhu Yuan.Discussion and analysis on the geo-ecological boundary in Qinling Range[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2007,27(7):2 774-2 784.] [13]陆福志,鹿化煜.秦岭—大巴山高分辨率气温和降水格点数据集的建立及其对区域气候的指示[J].地理学报,2019,74(5):875-888.[Lu Fuzhi,Lu Huayu.A highresolution grid dataset of air temperature and precipitation for Qinling-Daba Mountains in central China and its implications for regional climate[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2019,74(5):875-888.]  [14]黄斌,王劲松,张洪芬.1962年至2006年中国西北区与季风区春季气温变化特征对比[J].资源科学,2010,32(6):1 082-1 087.[Huang Bin,Wang Jinsong,Zhang Hongfen.Characteristics of changes in spring temperature over the Northwest arid region and east monsoon region during recently 45 years in China[J].Resources Science,2010,32(6):1 082-1 087.] [15]秦进,白红英,李书恒,等.太白山南北坡高山林线太白红杉对气候变化的响应差异[J].生态学报,2016,36(17):5 333-5 342.[Qin Jin,Bai Hongying,Li Shuheng,et al.Differences in growth response of Larix chinensis to climate change at the upper timberline of southern and northern slopes of Mt.Taibai in central Qinling Mountains,China[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2016,36(17):5 333-5 342.] [16]陈兰,李书恒,侯丽,等.基于Vaganov Shashkin模型的太白红杉径向生长对气候要素的响应[J].应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2 470-2 480.[Chen Lan,Li Shuheng,Hou Li,et al.Response of 〖WTBX〗Larix chinensis〖WTBZ〗 radial growth to climatic factors based on the VaganovShashkin model[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2017,28(8):2 470-2 480.] [17]侯丽,李书恒,陈兰,等.近200年来秦岭2—4月历史气温重建与空间差异[J].地理研究,2017,36(8):1 428-1 442.[Hou Li,Li Shuheng,Chen Lan,et al.Reconstruction of the historical temperature from February to April of the Qinling Mountains in recent 200 years[J].Geographical Research,2017,36(8):1 428-1 442.] [18]秦进,白红英,刘荣娟,等.近144年来秦岭太白山林线区3—6月平均气温的重建[J].生态学报,2017,37(22):7 585-7 594.[Qin Jin,Bai Hongying,Liu Rongjuan,et al.Reconstruction of MarchJune mean air temperature along the timberline of Mount Taibai,Qinling mountains,Northwest China,over the last 144 years[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(22):7 585-7 594.] [19]邓晨晖,白红英,高山,等.1964—2015年气候因子对秦岭地区植物物候的综合影响效应[J].地理学报,2018,73(5):917-931.[Deng Chenhui,Bai Hongying,Gao Shan,et al.Comprehensive effect of climatic factors on plant phenology in Qinling Mountains region during 1964-2015[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(5):917-931.] [20]袁博,白红英,章杰,等.秦岭山地植被净初级生产力及对气候变化的响应[J].植物研究,2013,33(2):225-231.[Yuan Bo,Bai Hongying,Zhang Jie,et al.Vegetation net primary productivity in Qinling Mountains and its response to climate change[J].Bulletin of Botanical Research,2013,33(2):225-231.] [21]翟丹平.秦岭山地气温直减率时空差异及气温变化趋势[D].西安:西北大学,2017.[Zhai Danping.Time Space Difference and Temperature Change Trend of Mountain Temperature Mitigation Rate in Qinling Mountains[D].Xi’an:Northwest University,2017.] [22]李英杰,延军平,刘永林.秦岭南北气候干湿变化与降水非均匀性的关系[J].干旱区研究,2016,33(3):619-627.[Li Yingjie,Yan Junping,Liu Yonglin.Relationship between dryness/wetness and precipitation heterogeneity in the North and South of the Qinling Mountains[J].Arid Zone Research,2016,33(3):619-627.] [23]高涛涛,殷淑燕,王水霞.基于SPEI指数的秦岭南北地区干旱时空变化特征[J].干旱区地理,2018,41(4):761-770.[Gao Taotao,Yin Shuyan,Wang Shuixia.Spatial and temporal variations of drought in northern and southern regions of Qinling Mountains based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index[J].Arid Land Geography,2018,41(4):761-770.] [24]李双双,杨赛霓,刘宪锋.1960—2013年秦岭-淮河南北极端降水时空变化特征及其影响因素[J].地理科学进展,2015,34(3):354-363.[Li Shuangshuang,Yang Saini,Liu Xianfeng.Spatiotemporal variability of extreme precipitation in north and south of the Qinling-Huaihe region and influencing factors during 1960-2013[J].Progress in Geography,2015,34(3):354-363.] [25]张扬,白红英,苏凯,等.1960—2013年秦岭陕西段南北坡极端气温变化空间差异[J].地理学报,2018,73(7):1 296-1 308.[Zhang Yang,Bai Hongying,Su Kai,et al.Spatial variation of extreme temperature change on southern and northern slopes of Shaanxi section in Qinling Mountains during 1960-2013[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(7):1 296-1 308.] [26]Byakatonda J,Parida B P,Moalafhi D B,et al.Analysis of long term drought severity characteristics and trends across semiarid Botswana using two drought indices[J].Atmospheric Research,2018,213:492-508. [27]Tong S,Lai Q,Zhang J,et al.Spatiotemporal drought variability on the Mongolian Plateau from 1980-2014 based on the SPEIPM,intensity analysis and Hurst exponent[J].Science of the Total Environment,2018,615:1 557-1 565. [28]Zhang Y,Yu Z,Niu H.Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index is highly correlated with total water storage over China under future climate scenarios[J].Atmospheric Environment,2018,194:123-133. [29]徐一丹,任传友,马熙达,等.基于SPI/SPEI指数的东北地区多时间尺度干旱变化特征对比分析[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(6):51-63.[Xu Yidan,Ren Chuanyou,Ma Xida,et al.Change of drought at multiple temporal scales based on SPI/SPEI in Northeast China[J].Arid Zone Research,2017,34(6):51-63.] [30]董婷,孟令奎,张文.1961—2012年我国干旱演变特征[J].干旱区研究,2018,35(1):96-106.[Dong Ting,Meng Lingkui,Zhang Wen.Evolution of drought in China during the period of 1961-2012[J].Arid Zone Research,2018,35(1):96-106.] [31]Vicenteserrano S M,Beguería S,Lópezmoreno J I.A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming:The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index[J].Journal of Climate,2010,23(7):1 696-1 718. [32]刘珂,姜大膀.基于两种潜在蒸散发算法的SPEI对中国干湿变化的分析[J].大气科学,2015,39(1):23-36.[Liu Ke,Jiang Dabang.Analysis of dryness/wetness over China using standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index based on two evapotranspiration algorithms[J].Atmospheric Sciences,2015,39(1):23-36.] [33]Hurst H E.Long term storage capacity of reservoirs[J].Trans American Society of Civil Engineers,1951,116(12):776-808. [34]符静,秦建新,黎祖贤,等.“衡邵干旱走廊”历史降雨量时空特征及趋势分析[J].环境科学学报,2017,37(8):3 097-3 106.[Fu Jing,Qin Jianxin,Li Zuxian,et al.Spatialtemporal distribution pattern and trend analysis of rainfalls in the‘Heng shao drought corridor’[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2017,37(8):3 097-3 106.] [35]冯新灵,罗隆诚,冯自立.中国近50年降水变化趋势及突变的Hurst指数试验[J].干旱区地理,2009,32(6):859-866.[Feng Xinling,Luo Longcheng,Feng Zili.Hurst index experiment on precipitation change trend and mutation of China in the near 50 years[J].Arid Land Geography,2009,32(6):859-866.] [36]冯新灵,冯自立,罗隆诚,等.青藏高原冷暖气候变化趋势的[WTBX]R/S[WTBZ]分析及Hurst指数试验研究[J].干旱区地理,2008,31(2):23-29.[Feng Xinling,Feng Zili,Luo Longcheng,et al.Fractal analysis of climate change and Hurst index experimentin Tibetan Plateau in future[J].Arid Land Geography,2008,31(2):23-29.] [37]江田汉,邓莲堂.Hurst指数估计中存在的若干问题——以在气候变化研究中的应用为例[J].地理科学,2004,24(2):177-182.[Jiang Tianhan,Deng Liantang.Some problems in estimating a Hurst exponent:A case study of applicatings to climatic change[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2004,24(2):177-182.] [38]Hutchinson M,Xu Tingbao.Anusplin Version 4.4 User Guide.Canberra:Fenner School of Environment and Society[M].Australian:Australian National University,2013:1-52. [39]刘志红,Li Lingtao,Mcvicar R,等.专用气候数据空间插值软件ANUSPLIN及其应用[J].气象,2008,34(2):92-100.[Liu Zhihong,Li Lingtao,McVicar R,et al.Introduction of the professional interpolation software for meteorology data:ANUSPLIN[J].Meteorological Monthly,2008,34(2):92-100.] [40]于飞,郑小波,谷晓平,等.复杂山地环境下气候要素空间插值精度比较研究[J].贵州气象,2008,32(3):3-6.[Yu Fei,Zheng Xiaobo,Gu Xiaoping,et al.Comparative study on spatial interpolation of climate elements precision in complex mountainous environment[J].Journal of Guizhou Meteorology,2008,32(3):3-6.] [41]姜晓剑,刘小军,黄芬,等.逐日气象要素空间插值方法的比较[J].应用生态学报,2010,21(3):624-630.[Jiang Xiaojian,Liu Xiaojun,Huang Fen,et al.Comparison of spatial interpolation methods for daily meteorological elements[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2010,21(3):624-630.] [42]刘正佳,于兴修,王丝丝,等.薄盘光滑样条插值中三种协变量方法的降水量插值精度比较[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(1):56-62.[Liu Zhengjia,Yu Xingxiu,Wang Sisi,et al.Comparative analysis of three covariates methods in thinplate smoothing splines for interpolating precipitation[J].Progress in Geography,2012,31(1):56-62.] [43]Dong J,Liu J,Zhang G,et al.Climate change affecting temperature and aridity zones:A case study in Eastern Inner Mongolia,China from 1960-2008[J].Theoretical & Applied Climatology,2013,113(3-4):561-572. [44]魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社,1999:43-47.[Wei Fengying.Modern Climatic Statistical Diagnosis and Forecasting Technology[M].Beijing:China Meteorological Press,1999:43-47.] [45]符淙斌,王强.气候突变的定义和检测方法[J].大气科学,1992,16(4):482-493.[Fu Congbin,Wang Qiang.The definition and detection of the abrupt climate change[J].Scientia Atmospherica Sinica,1992,16(4):482- 493.] [46]董李丽,李清泉,丁一汇.全球变暖背景下我国春季气温的时空变化特征[J].气象,2015,41(10):1 177-1 189.[Dong Lili,Li Qingquan,Ding Yihui.Spatial and temporal characteristics of air temperature over China in spring under the back ground of global warming[J].Meteorological Monthly,2015,41(10):1 177-1 189.] [47]苏京志,温敏,丁一汇,等.全球变暖趋缓研究进展[J].大气科学,2016,40(6):1 143-1 153.[Su Jingzhi,Wen Min,Ding Yihui,et al.Hiatus of global warming:A review[J].Chinses Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2016,40(6):1 143-1 153.] [48]梁珑腾,马龙,刘廷玺,等.1951—2014年中国北方地区季节气温突变与变暖停滞年份的时空变异性[J].自然资源学报,2018,33(12):2 149-2 166.[Liang Longteng,Ma Long,Liu Tingxi,et al.The seasonal spatiotemporal variation of the temperature mutation and warming hiatus over Northern China during 1951-2014[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2018,33(12):2 149-2 166.] [49]张丽霞,周天军.20世纪90年代初东亚夏季对流层温差的年代际转折及成因[J].中国科学:地球科学,2015,45(9):1 394-1 408.[Zhang Lixia,Zhou Tianjun.Decadal variation around early 1990s,East Asian summer monsoon,change of ENSO period[J].Science China:Earth Sciences,2015,45(9):1 394-1 408.] [50]李双双,卢佳玉,延军平,等.1970—2015年秦岭南北气温时空变化及其气候分界意义[J].地理学报,2018,73(1):13-24.[Li Shuangshuang,Lu Jiayu,Yan Junping,et al.Spatiotemporal variability of temperature in Northern and Southern Qinling Mountains and its influence on climatic boundary[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(1):13-24.] [51]占瑞芬,丁一汇,吴立广,等.ENSO在青藏高原积雪与西北太平洋热带气旋生成频数关系中的作用[J].中国科学:地球科学,2016,46(10):1 358-1 370.[Zhan Ruifen,Ding Yihui,Wu Liguang,et al.Role of ENSO in the interannual relationship between Tibetan Plateau winter snow cover and Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone genesis frequency[J].Science China Earth Sciences,2016,46(10):1 358-1 370.] [52]Tollefson J.Climate change:The case of the missing heat[J].Nature,2014,505(7 483):276-284. [53]Drinkwater K F,Miles M,Medhaug I,et al.The atlantic multidecadal oscillation:Its manifestations and impacts with special emphasis on the Atlantic region north of 60°N[J].Journal of Marine Systems,2014,133:117-130. [54]Schmidt G A,Shindell D T,Tsigaridis K.Reconciling warming trends[J].Nature Geoscience,2014,7(3):158-160. [55]杜勤勤,张明军,王圣杰,等.中国气温变化对全球变暖停滞的响应[J].地理学报,2018,73(9):1 748-1 764.[Du Qinqin,Zhang Mingjun,Wang Shengjie,et al.Changes in air temperature of China in response to global warming hiatus[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(9):1 748-1 764.] [56]Sung M K,Jang H Y,Kim B M,et al.Tropical influence on the North Pacific Oscillation drives winter extremes in North America[J].Nature Climate Change,2019,9(5):413-418. [57]杜川利,余兴.气溶胶和城市热岛效应对秦岭地区近50年气温序列影响分析[J].高原气象,2013,32(5):1 321-1 328.[Du Chuanli,Yu Xing.Analysis on influence of aerosol and urban heat island effect on temperature series in Qinling Region in recent 50 years[J].Plateau Meteorology,2013,32(5):1 321-1 328.] [58]王银牌,喻鑫,谢广奇.中国近15年气溶胶光学厚度时空分布特征[J].中国环境科学,2018,38(2):426-434.[Wang Yinpai,Yu Xin,Xie Guangqi.Spatial distribution and temporal variation of aerosol optical depth over China in the past 15 years[J].China Environmental Science,2018,38(2):426-434.] [59]董自鹏,余兴,李星敏,等.基于MODIS数据的陕西省气溶胶光学厚度变化趋势与成因分析[J].科学通报,2014,59(3):306-316.[Dong Zipeng,Yu Xing,Li Xingmin,et al.Analysis of variation trends and causes of aerosol optical depth in Shaanxi Province using MODIS data [J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2014,59(3):306-316.] [60]白红英,马新萍,高翔,等.基于DEM的秦岭山地1月气温及0 ℃等温线变化[J].地理学报,2012,67(11):1 443-1 450.[Bai Hongying,Ma Xinping,Gao Xiang,et al.Variations in January temperature and 0 ℃ isothermal curve in Qinling mountains based on DEM[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2012,67(11):1 443-1 450.] [61]王钊,罗慧,李亚丽,等.近50年秦岭南北不均匀增温及对城市化响应[J].应用气象学报,2016,27(1):84-94.[Wang Zhao,Luo Hui,Li Yali,et al.Effects of urbanization on temperatures over the Qinling Mountains in the past 50 years[J].Journal of Applied Meteorological Science,2016,27(1):85-94.]. [62]郭少壮,白红英,孟清,等.1980—2015年秦岭地区景观格局变化及其对人为干扰的响应[J].应用生态学报,2018,29(12):4 080-4 088.[Guo Shaozhuang,Bai Hongying,Meng Qing,et al.Landscape pattern change and its response to human disturbance in the Qinling Mountains during 1980 to 2015[J].Chinese Journal of Applied,2018,29(12):4 080-4 088.] [63]白晶.秦岭南北气候变化特征及人为驱动力差异分析[D].西安:陕西师范大学,2011.[Bai Jing.Climate Change and Driving Force of Human Activities in the North and South Region of Qinling Mountain[D].Xi’an:Shaanxi Normal University,2011.] [64]周亮.中国商品期货市场的分形特征研究[J].浙江金融,2017(3):53-60.[Zhou Liang.A framework for analyzing the formation mechanism of non-performing assets[J].Zhejiang Finance,2017(3):53-60.] [65]邓兴耀,刘洋,刘志辉,等.中国西北干旱区蒸散发时空动态特征[J].生态学报,2017,37(9):2 994-3 008.[Deng Xingyao,Liu Yang,Liu Zhihui,et al.Temporalspatial dynamic change characteristics of evapotranspiration in arid region of Northwest China[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(9):2 994-3 008.]