巴托拉等冰川的新近变化及对中巴公路的影响

doi:10.13866/j.azr.2022.06.28

Abstract

Abstract:

The Karakoram highway (KKH) is a strategic channel connecting China and Pakistan and promoting the opening up of Xinjiang to the outside world. It is situated on the valley floors of the Pamir-Hindu Kush-Karakoram, where the densest mountain glaciers exist in High Mountain Asia (HMA). The KKH has been affected by glacier hazards for a long time, especially the Batura-Ghulkin section in the middle reaches of the Hunza River. In this study, based on the research documents, field investigation reports, Landsat MSS\TM\ETM+\OLI images, elevation change data sets of HMA, and ITS_LIVE glacier surface velocity data, we reconstructed the historical changes of the Batura, Pasu, and Ghulkin glaciers, including the glacier area, surface elevation, surface velocity, and meltwater runoff over the last 100 years, as well as the impact of glacier variations on KKH. The results show that over the past 100 years, the Batura and Pasu glaciers have generally retreated, with the distance increased between the glacier tongue and KKH, while the Ghulkin glacier has remained stable. Therefore, for the KKH, the current changes in the Batura and Pasu glaciers pose no direct threat. As the Ghulkin glacier is too close to the KKH, particularly the northern glacier tongue, which is only about 170 m, the direct threat to the highway will persist for a long time. For the Batura glacier, the more realistic threat is the migration and reorganization of the meltwater runoff drainage channel (Batura River) from June to July 2021. After the diversion, the water flow will cause strong erosion of the roadbed, which must be attended to by the government. The Pasu glacier has been retreating strongly in the past decades, and the risk of large-scale glacial lake outburst flood has also decreased recently, so the glacier hazard’s threat to the KKH is weakening. With the construction of drainage facilities, the meltwater runoff of the Ghulkin Glacier has been effectively channeled, but the disaster risk contained in the migration and swing of the meltwater channel can not be ignored.

Key words: Karakoram highway, Batura glaciers, meltwater runoff, glacier hazards

LI Zhijie,WANG Ninglian,CHANG Jiawen. Recent variations of the Batura, Pasu, and Ghulkin glaciers and their potential impact on the Karakoram highway[J].Arid Zone Research, 2022, 39(6): 1986-1995.

Figures/Tables 8

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影像编号	获取日期/年-月-日	分辨率/m	影像编号	获取日期/年-月-日	分辨率/m
LM21610351972251AAA05	1972-09-07	60	LC81490352013282LGN00	2013-10-09	15
LM21610351979250AAA05	1979-09-07	60	LC81500352014276LGN00	2014-10-03	15
LT51490351990219ISP00	1990-08-07	30	LC81500352015231LGN00	2015-08-19	15
LT51490351993163ISP00	1993-06-12	30	LC81490352016275KHC00	2016-10-01	15
LT51490351994246ISP00	1994-09-03	30	LC81490352017261LGN00	2017-09-18	15
LT51490351997222SGI00	1997-08-10	30	LC81490352018216LGN00	2018-08-04	15
LT51490351998225XXX01	1998-08-13	30	LC81490352019267LGN00	2019-09-24	15
LE71490352000255SGS00	2000-09-11	15	LC81490352020238LGN00	2020-08-25	15
LE71490352001241SGS00	2001-08-29	15	LC71490352021160LGN00	2021-06-09	15
LE71490352002276SGS00	2002-10-03	15	LC71490352021192LGN00	2021-07-11	15
LT51490352008285KHC01	2008-10-11	30	LC81490352021272LGN00	2021-09-29	15
LT51490352009223KHC00	2009-08-11	30	LC81490352022147LGN00	2022-05-27	15
LT51490352010290KHC00	2010-10-17	30

Recent variations of the Batura, Pasu, and Ghulkin glaciers and their potential impact on the Karakoram highway

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References 34

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