干旱区研究 ›› 2014, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (2): 201-208.

• 水土资源 • 上一篇    下一篇

51 a来甘肃省水分盈亏量的时空变化特征

姚玉龙,刘普幸,卓玛兰草   

  1. (西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,甘肃 兰州 730070)
  • 收稿日期:2012-12-05 修回日期:2013-05-06 出版日期:2014-03-11 发布日期:2014-04-25
  • 作者简介:姚玉龙(1989-),男,硕士研究生,主要从事干旱区域环境与绿洲建设研究.E-mail: yyllq520@sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(40961035);甘肃省自然科学基金项目(0803RJZA094)

Spatiotemporal Change of Water Budget in Gansu Province in Recent 51 Years

  • Received:2012-12-05 Revised:2013-05-06 Published:2014-03-11 Online:2014-04-25

摘要: 利用甘肃省27个气象站1960—2010年的逐日气象资料,应用PenmanMonteith模型计算潜在蒸散量,再用同期降水量减去潜在蒸散量求得气候水分盈亏量。通过Mann-Kendall(M-K)突变检验、小波分析和ArcGIS的Kriging空间插值法,分析了研究区水分盈亏量的时空变化特征;运用相关系数和线性回归分析法对影响水分盈亏量变化的气候因素进行了探讨。结果表明:近51 a来,甘肃省多年平均水分盈亏量在-194~-1 293 mm,总体呈显著减少趋势〔6.48 mm•(10a)-1〕,且呈现自东南向西北递增的空间变化格局。水分亏损量自20世纪60年代起逐渐增加,70年代减小,80年代以后持续增加,2001年以后达到最大。各个季节平均水分盈亏量:夏季>春季>秋季>冬季。M-K突变分析表明,甘肃省平均水分盈亏量在2008年左右发生突变,是水分变化的敏感期。小波分析表明,甘肃省平均水分盈亏量存在4.87 a和4.52 a显著周期,主要受大气环流影响。降水、日照时数和平均湿度对水分亏损量的变化起主导作用。

Abstract: Based on the daily data from 27 meteorological stations in Gansu Province during the period from 1960 to 2010, the values of evapotranspiration were calculated by applying PenmanMonteith model, and then the climate water budget was obtained by subtracting evapotranspiration from precipitation during the same period. Spatiotemporal water budget over Gansu Province was analyzed using the MannKendall abrupt test, wavelet analysis and GIS spatial interpolation means. The correlation coefficients and linear regression analysis were used to discuss the dominant factors affecting water budget. The results showed that, during the period from 1960 to 2010, the multiyear average water budget over Gansu Province varied in a range from -194 mm to -1 293 mm, it was decreased by 6.48 mm every decade, and the water loss was spatially increased from the southeast to the northwest. Water loss was gradually increased from the 1960s, decreased in the 1970s, increased continuously after the 1980s, and reached the maximum value in the first 10 years of 21 century. Average seasonal water loss was in an order of summer>spring>autumn>winter. MK abrupt test indicated that a sharp change and sensitive period of water budget occurred around 2008. Morlet wavelet analysis revealed that there were the obvious 4.87year and 4.52year periods of average water deficit over Gansu Province, which was mainly affected by the atmospheric circulation. Precipitation, sunshine duration and average humidity were the dominant factors affecting water loss.