Climatic Change

Spatiotemporal Variations of Extreme Precipitation in the Semiarid Region in North China during the Period of 1961-2010

  • WANG Bing-qin ,
  • JIANG Yuan ,
  • DONG Man-yu ,
  • WEN Yan
Expand
  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Process and Resources Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;
    2. College of Resources Science and Technology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China

Received date: 2014-12-17

  Revised date: 2015-01-21

  Online published: 2016-09-28

Abstract

Using the methods of Mann-Kendall test, moving T-test and R/S, the spatiotemporal variations of precipitation extreme events in the semiarid region in north China during the period of 1961-2010 were analyzed based on the daily precipitation data from 49 meteorological stations within or adjacent to the study area. The results showed that the maximum 5-day precipitation, daily heavy precipitation, precipitation intensity, maximum consecutive humid days, consecutive drought days, heavy precipitation days and annual precipitation in the study area were in a decrease trend in recent 50 years. In which the maximum 5-day precipitation and the daily heavy precipitation passed the significance test at 0.1 level (P<0.1). An analysis based on Hurst index showed that the six extreme precipitation indices will continually decrease in the future, especially for CWD. The abrupt change of consecutive drought days occurred around 1985 and 1995, and that of other six extreme precipitation indices occurred around 1999-2000. Except the change of consecutive drought days, other six indices decreased from the northwest to the southeast. There was a certain regional difference of variation trend of the extreme precipitation indices, these indices were dominated by a decrease trend in the east of the study area but an increase trend in some areas of the central part. There was a significant positive correlation between the annual precipitation and the extreme precipitation indices except for the consecutive drought days, and the extreme precipitation indices were the good indicators for annual precipitation in the study area.

Cite this article

WANG Bing-qin , JIANG Yuan , DONG Man-yu , WEN Yan . Spatiotemporal Variations of Extreme Precipitation in the Semiarid Region in North China during the Period of 1961-2010[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2016 , 33(5) : 913 -920 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2016.05.01

References

〔1〕 Alexander L V,Zhang X,Peterson T C,et al.Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research,2006,111,D05109.
〔2〕 杨勇,杜军,罗骕翾,等.近40 a西藏怒江流域极端降水事件的时空变化〔J〕.干旱区研究,2013,30(2):315-321.〔Yang Yong,Du Jun,Luo Suxuan,et al.On extreme precipitation events in the Nujiang River Basin in Tibet in recent 40 years〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2013,30(2):315-321.〕
〔3〕 靳俊芳,殷淑燕,庞奖励.近60 a来汉江上游极端降水变化研究——以安康地区为例〔J〕.干旱区研究,2014,31(6):1 061-1 067.〔Jin Junfang,Yin Shuyan,Pang Jiangli.Extreme precipitation in upper reach of Hanjiang River in recent 60 years〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2014,31(6):1 061-1 067.〕
〔4〕 Chen Y N,Deng H J,Li B F,et al.Abrupt change of temperature and precipitation extremes in the arid region of Northwest China〔J〕.Quaternary International,2014,336:35-43.
〔5〕 Wang H J,Chen Y N,Chen Z S.Spatial distribution and temporal trends of mean precipitation and extremes in the arid region,northwest of China,during 1960-2010〔J〕.Hydrological Processes,2013,27:1 807-1 818.
〔6〕 Stephenson T S,Vincent L A,Allen T,et al.Changes in extreme temperature and precipitation in the Caribbean region,1961-2010〔J〕.International Journal of Climatology,2014,34:2 957-2 971.
〔7〕 You Q L,Kang S C,Aguilar E,et al.Changes in daily climate extremes in China and their connection to the large scale atmospheric circulation during 1961-2003〔J〕.Climate Dynamics,2011,36:2 399-2 417.
〔8〕 任正果,张明军,王圣杰,等.1961—2011年中国南方地区极端降水事件变化〔J〕.地理学报,2014,69(5):640-649.〔Ren Zhengguo,Zhang Mingjun,Wang Shengjie,et al.Changes in precipitation extremes in South China during 1961-2011〔J〕.Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(5):640-649.〕
〔9〕 慈晖,张强,张江辉,等.1961—2010年新疆极端降水过程时空特征〔J〕.地理研究,2014,33(10):1 881-1 891.〔Ci Hui,Zhang Qiang,Zhang Jianghui,et al.Spatiotemporal variations of extreme precipitation events within Xinjiang during 1961-2010〔J〕.Geographical Research,2014,33(10):1 881-1 891.〕
〔10〕赵丽,杨青,韩雪云,等.1961—2009年新疆极端降水事件时空差异特征〔J〕.中国沙漠,2014,34(2):550-557.〔Zhao Li,Yang Qing,Han Xueyun,et al.Spatial and temporal differences of extreme precipitation during 1961-2009 in Xinjiang,China〔J〕.Journal of Desert Research,2014,34(2):550-557.〕
〔11〕Jiang F Q,Hu R J,Wang S P,et al.Trends of precipitation extremes during 1960-2008 in Xinjiang,the Northwest China〔J〕.Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2013,111:133-148.
〔12〕李杉,艾丽坤.中美半干旱区地表能量通量变化特征比较〔J〕.高原气象,2014,33(5):1 262-1 271.〔Li Shan,Ai Likun.Comparative analysis of surface energy fluexes over Sino-US semi-arid land〔J〕.Plateau Meteorology,2014,33(5):1 262-1 271.〕
〔13〕姚玉璧,肖国举,王润元,等.近50年来西北半干旱区气候变化特征〔J〕.干旱区地理,2009,32(2):159-165.〔Yao Yubi,Xiao Guoju,Wang Runyuan,et al.Climatic changes of semi-arid region over the northwest China in recent 50 a〔J〕.Arid Land Geography,2009,32(2):159-165.〕
〔14〕冉津江,季明霞,黄建平,等.中国北方干旱区和半干旱区近60年气候变化特征及成因分析〔J〕.兰州大学学报:自然科学版,2014,50(1):46-53.〔Ran Jinjiang,Ji Mingxia,Huang Jianping,et al.Characteristics and factors of climate change in arid and semi-arid areas over Northern China in the recent 60 years〔J〕.Journal of Lanzhou University:Natural Sciences Edition,2014,50(1):46-53.〕
〔15〕神祥金,吴正方,杜海波.近50年来吉林西部半干旱区气候变化特征〔J〕.干旱区资源与环境,2014,28(2):190-196.〔Shen Xiangjin,Wu Zhengfang,Du Haibo.Characteristics of climatic change in semiarid region of western Jilin in recent 50 a〔J〕.Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2014,28(2):190-196.〕
〔16〕杜军,路红亚,建军.1961—2012年西藏极端降水事件的变化〔J〕.自然资源学报,2014,29(6):990-1 002.〔 Du Jun,Lu Hongya,Jian Jun.Change in extreme precipitation events over Tibet from 1961 to 2012〔J〕.Journal of Natural Resources,2014,29(6):990-1 002.〕
〔17〕路红亚,杜军,袁雷,等.1971—2012年珠穆朗玛峰地区极端降水事件变化研究〔J〕.冰川冻土,2014,36(3):563-572.〔Lu Hongya,Du Jun,Yuan Lei,et al. Variation characteristics of extreme precipitation events over Mt.Qomolangma region in China from 1971 to 2012 〔J〕.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2014,36(3):563-572.〕
〔18〕尹云鹤,吴绍洪,陈刚.1961—2006年我国气候变化趋势与突变的区域差异〔J〕.自然资源学报,2009,24(12):2 147-2 157.〔Yin Yunhe,Wu Shaohong,Chen Gang.Regional difference of climate trend and abrupt climate change in China during 1961-2006〔J〕.Journal of Natural Resources,2009,24(12):2 147-2 157.〕
〔19〕普宗朝,张山清,李景林,等.近50 a新疆≥0 ℃持续日数和积温时空变化〔J〕.干旱区研究,2013,30(5):781-788.〔Pu Zongchao,Zhang Shanqing,Li Jinglin,et al.Spatiotemporal change of duration and accumulated temperature of temperature≥0 ℃ in Xinjiang in recent 50 years〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2013,30(5):781-788.〕
〔20〕刘琳,徐宗学.西南地区旱涝特征及其趋势预测〔J〕.自然资源学报,2014,29(10):1 792-1 801.〔Liu Lin,Xu Zongxue.Drought/flood characteristics and trend prediction in Southwest China〔J〕.Journal of Natural Resources,2014,29(10):1 792-1 801.〕
〔21〕董满宇,王炳钦,廖剑宇,等.近50年东江流域极端降水事件变化特征〔J〕.资源科学,2013,35(3):521-529.〔Dong Manyu,Wang Bingqin,Liao Jianyu,et al.Climatic characteristics of extreme precipitation events in the Dongjiang River Basin in the last 50 years〔J〕.Resources Science,2013,35(3):521-529.〕
Outlines

/