Land and Water Environment

Snow-ice Disaster Indexes and Risk Assessment in the Pastoral Area in North Xinjiang

  • WANG Jian-gang ,
  • WANG Sheng-tao ,
  • ZHUANG Xiao-cui ,
  • BAHT Sihak
Expand
  • 1. Altay Prefecture Meteorological Bureau, Altay 836500, Xinjiang, China;
    2. Beijing Tianyuan Kechuang Wind Power Technology Co. Ltd., Beijing 100176, China

Received date: 2013-01-29

  Revised date: 2013-05-22

  Online published: 2014-08-11

Abstract

The features and risk of snow-ice disasters in north Xinjiang were researched after analyzing the H and L indexes based on the aggregation, weights and animal husbandry disaster losses of the snow-ice climate events. It was considered that the snow-ice disasters were chain-structured, and the disaster intensity was related to the weights and aggregation degree of snow-ice climate events. Based on the information diffusion theory, the risk of snow-ice disasters was assessed, the snow-ice disasters in north Xinjiang were holistically distributed in a northwest-southeast zonal way, and the occurring frequency of snow-ice disasters in the west, hilly regions and areas with thick snow cover was higher than that in the east, plains and areas with thin snow cover.

Cite this article

WANG Jian-gang , WANG Sheng-tao , ZHUANG Xiao-cui , BAHT Sihak . Snow-ice Disaster Indexes and Risk Assessment in the Pastoral Area in North Xinjiang[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2014 , 31(4) : 682 -689 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2014.04.14

References

〔1〕 徐羹慧.牧区雪灾防御研究的新进展及其展望〔J〕. 新疆气象,2006,28(3):1-4.〔Xu Genghui.Recent advances and expection in studies of precaution against snow disaster in pasture〔J〕.Xinjiang Meteorology,2006,28(3):1-4.〕
〔2〕 王博,李小娟,胡卓伟.基于GIS的内蒙古中部牧区雪灾风险评估模型研究〔J〕.安徽农业科学,2011,39(4):1 984-1 987.〔Wang Bo,Li Xiaojuan,Hu Zhuowei.Study on risk assessment model of snow disaster in the central parts of Inner Mongolia pastoral areas based on GIS〔J〕.Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2011,39(4):1 984-1 987.〕
〔3〕 周陆生,汪青春,李海红,等.青藏高原东部牧区大─暴雪过程雪灾灾情适时预评估方法的研究〔J〕.自然灾害学报,2001,10(2):58-65.〔Zhou Lusheng,Wang Qingchun,Li Haihong,et al.Study on real-time predictive assessment of snowstorm disaster in eastern pastoral area of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau〔J〕.Journal of Natural Disasters,2001,10 (2):58-65.〕
〔4〕 刘德才,戚家新.雪灾对新疆畜牧业的影响及对策〔J〕.干旱区研究,1997,14(2):52-53.〔Liu Decai,Qi Jiaxin.The effects of snow disaster on animal husbandry in Xinjiang〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,1997,14(2):52-53.〕
〔5〕 刘兴元,梁天刚,郭正刚,等.北疆牧区雪灾预警与风险评估方法〔J〕.应用生态学报,2008,19(1):133-138.〔Liu Xingyuan,Liang Tiangang,Guo Zhenggan,et al.Early warning and risk assessment of snow disaster in pastoral area of northern Xinjiang〔J〕.Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2008,19(1):133-138.〕
〔6〕 庄晓翠,晋绿生,赵俊荣,等.阿勒泰地区白灾的天气学分析及防御对策〔J〕.新疆气象,2004,27(5):6-9.〔Zhuang Xiaocui,Jin Lusheng,Zhao Junrong,et al.Analysis forecast and defensive measures of snow disaster in Aletai Region〔J〕.Xinjiang Meteorology,2004,27(5):6-9.〕
〔7〕 李春芳,赵俊荣,王磊.寒潮暴风雪天气的动力和热力特征分析〔J〕.新疆气象,2001,24(1):11-13.〔Li Chunfang,Zhao Junrong,Wang Lei.Analysis on dynamic and themal feature of the cold wave storm weather〔J〕.Xinjiang Meteorology,2001,24 (1):11-13.〕
〔8〕 庄晓翠,安冬亮,张林梅,等.阿勒泰地区寒潮天气特征分析及预报〔J〕.沙漠与绿洲气象,2010,4(1):32-35.〔Zhuang Xiaocui,An Dongliang,Zhang Linmei,et al.Characteristics of cold wave weather and its forecast in Altay prefecture〔J〕.Desert and Oasis Meteorology,2010,4(1):32-35.〕
〔9〕 刘惠云,崔彩霞,李如奇.新疆北部一次持续暴雪天气过程分析〔J〕.干旱区研究,2011,28(2):282-286.〔Liu Huiyun,Cui Caixia,Li Ruqi.Analysis on a continuous snowstorm process over north Xinjiang in early january 2010〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2011,28 (2):282-286.〕
〔10〕刘兴元,梁天刚,郭正刚,等.阿勒泰地区草地畜牧业雪灾的遥感监测与评价〔J〕.草业学报,2003,12(6):115-120.〔Liu Xingyuan,Liang Tiangang,Guo Zhenggang,et al.Assessment and monitoring of snow disaster effect on grassland livestock industry in the Aletai region using remote sensing technology〔J〕.Acta Prataculturae Sinica,2003,12(6):115-120.〕
〔11〕黄崇福.自然灾害风险评价:理论与实践〔M〕.北京:科学出版社,2006.〔Huang Chongfu.Risk Assessment of Natural Disaster:Theory and Practice〔M〕.Beijing:Science Press,2006.〕
〔12〕Bruce J,Stethem C.Snow avalanche hazards and management in canada:Challenges and progress〔J〕.Natural Hazards,2002,26:35-53.
〔13〕Bocchiola D, Medagliani M.Regional snow depth frequency curves for avalanche hazard mapping in central Italian Alps〔J〕.Cold Regions Science and Technology,2006,46:204-221.
〔14〕新疆草原勘察设计大队,阿勒泰地区畜牧处.阿勒泰地区草地资源及其开发利用〔M〕.乌鲁木齐:新疆科技卫生出版社,1995:1-5.〔Xinjiang Grassland Survey And Design Group,Altay Animal Husbandry Office.Exploitation and Utilization of Grassland Resources in Altay Area〔M〕.Urumqi:Xinjiang Science and Technology Publishing House,1995:1-5.〕
〔15〕李伟光,侯美亭,陈汇林,等.基于标准化降水蒸散指数的华南干旱趋势研究〔J〕.自然灾害学报,2012,24(4):84-90.〔Li Weiguang,Hou Meiting,Chen Huilin,et al.Study on drought trend in south China based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index〔J〕.Journal of Natural Disasters,2012,24(4):84-90.〕
〔16〕王建刚,王盛韬,徐建春,等.新疆阿勒泰地区太阳能资源分析与评估〔J〕.干旱区研究,2012,29(5):820-825.〔Wang Jiangang,Wang Shengtao,Xu Jianchun,et al.Analysis and assessment on solar energy resources in Altay prefecture〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2012,29(5):820-825.〕
〔17〕黄崇福,刘新立,周国贤,等.以历史灾情资料为依据的农业自然灾害风险评估方法〔J〕.自然灾害学报,1998,7(2):3-5.〔Huang Chongfu,Liu Xinli,Zhou Guoxian,et al.Agricultural natural disaster risk assessment method according to the historic disaster data〔J〕.Journal of Natural Disasters,1998,7(2):3-5.〕
Outlines

/