Plant Resources

Impact of Future Climate Change on Distribution Pattern of Tamarix taklamakanensis and Its Conservation Revelation

  • SU Zhi-hao ,
  • PAN Bo-rong ,
  • ZHUO Li ,
  • LI Wen-jun ,
  • LIU Hui-liang ,
  • JIANG Xiao-long ,
  • YAN De-min
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  • 1. Key Laboratory of Biogeography and Bioresources in Arid Land,Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China;
    2. Library,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830000,Xinjiang,China;
    3. Shanghai Chenshan Plant Science Research Center/Shanghai Chenshan Botanical Garden,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Shanghai 201602,China;
    4. Key Laboratory of Vegetation Regeneration and Management of Burned Forest,Nanjing Forest Police College,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China

Received date: 2017-04-21

  Revised date: 2017-07-17

  Online published: 2025-11-16

Abstract

In order to predict the impact of future climate change on the potential suitable distribution of Tamarix taklamakanensis,a rare endemic plant species in China,the climate situations in the past (1961-1990),2050 and 2070 were selected to simulate the dynamic change of the distribution of T. taklamakanensis in the Kumtag Desert using the Maxent model. The research results are as follows:① The suitable distribution areas of T. taklamakanensis would be the Tarim Basin,Turpan Basin,Kumtag Desert,and northwest region of the Alxa Desert in Inner Mongolia,and the most suitable potential distribution area would be the Kumtag Deser in the hinterland and the eastern part of the Tarim Basin;② Compared with the past potential distribution of T. taklamakanensis, the most suitable potential distribution areas would be shrunk in both 2050 and 2070;③ The climatic factors affecting the potential distribution of T. taklamakanensis would be mainly the precipitation in the driest season,annual precipitation,annual temperature and precipitation in the warmest season.

Cite this article

SU Zhi-hao , PAN Bo-rong , ZHUO Li , LI Wen-jun , LIU Hui-liang , JIANG Xiao-long , YAN De-min . Impact of Future Climate Change on Distribution Pattern of Tamarix taklamakanensis and Its Conservation Revelation[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2018 , 35(1) : 150 -155 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2018.01.19

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