[1] IPCC.Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science Basis.Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M].Cambridge & New York:Cambridge University Press,2013.
[2] 秦大河.气候变化科学与人类可持续发展[J].地理科学进展,2014,33(7):874-883.
[Qin Dahe.Climate change science and sustainable development[J].Progress in Geography,2014,33(7):874-883.]
[3] 气候变化国家评估报告编写委员会.第三次气候变化国家评估报告[M].北京:科学出版社,2014.
[Writing Committee of National Assessment Report on Climate Change.Third National Assessment Report on Climate Change[M].Beijing:Science Press,2014.]
[4] Lu N,Wilske B,Ni J,et al.Climate change in Inner Mongolia from 1955 to 2005 trends at regional,biome and local scales [J].Environmental Research Letters,2009,4(4):45006.
[5] 李喜仓,郭瑞清,杨丽桃,等.近50年内蒙古东部水热变化及对农业的影响[J].地理科学,2009,29(5):755-759.
[Li Xicang,Guo Ruiqing,Yang Litao,et al.Changes of precipitation and temperature and its impacts on agriculture in recent 50 years in Eastern Inner Mongolia [J].Scientia Geographica Sinica 2009,29(5):755-759.]
[6] 缪启龙,丁园圆,王勇.气候变暖对中国亚热带北界位置的影响[J].地理研究,2009,28(3):634-642.
[Miao Qilong,Ding Yuanyuan,Wang Yong.Impact of climate warming on the northern boundary of subtropical zone of China[J].Geographical Research,2009,28(3):634-642.]
[7] Fang Jingyun,Song Yongchang,Liu Hongyan,et al.Vegetation climate relationship and its application in the division of vegetation zone in China[J].Acta Botanica Sinica,2002,44(9):1105-1122.
[8] 郑景云,卞娟娟,葛全胜,等.中国 1951—1980 及 1981—2010 年的气候区划[J].地理研究,2013,32(6):987-997.
[Zheng Jingyun,Bian Juanjuan,Ge Quansheng,et al.The climate regionalization in China for 1951-1980 and 1981-2010[J].Geographical Research,2013,32(6):987-997.]
[9] 沙万英,邵雪梅,黄玫.20 世纪 80 年代以来中国的气候变暖及其对自然区域界线的影响[J].中国科学(D辑:地球科学),2002,32(4):317-326.
[Sha Wanying,Shao Xuemei,Huang Mei.Climate warming in China and its impact on natural regional boundaries since 1980s[J].Scientia Sinica Terrae,2002,32(4):317-326.]
[10] Parmesan C.Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change:Annual Review of Ecology[J]. Evolution & Systematics,2006,37(1):275-290.
[11] Walther G,Post E,Convey P,et al.Ecological responses to recent climate change[J].Nature,2002,416(6879):389-395.
[12] Menzel A,Sparks T,Estrella N,et al.European phenological response to climate change matches the warming pattern[J].Global Change Biology,2006,12(10):1969-1976.
[13] Thuiller W,Lavorel S,Araújo M B,et al.Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2005,102(23):8245-8250.
[14] 戴君虎,王梦麦,王焕炯,等.近 50年中国西北东部半湿润、半干旱过渡带气候变化及生态影响[J].第四纪研究,2009,29(5):920-930.
[Dai Junhu,Wang Mengmai,Wang Huanjiong,et al.Climate changes and their ecological impacts of the last 50 years in semihumid and semiaird transitional zones of the east part of north west China[J].Quaternary Sciences,2009,29(5):920-930.]
[15] 李晓东,傅华,李凤霞,等.气候变化对西北地区生态环境影响的若干进展[J].草业科学,2011,28(2):286-295.
[Li Xiaodong,Fu Hua,Li Fengxia,et al.Research progress on effects of climate change on ecological environment in North-west China[J].Pratacultural Science,2011,28(2):286-295.]
[16] Kira T.A New Classification of Climate in Eastern Asia as the Basis for Agricultural Geography.Horicultural Institute[M].Kyoto:Kyoto University,1945:1-23.
[17] Kira T.Terrestrial Ecosystem an Introduction[M].Tokyo:Kyoritsu Shuppan,1976.
[18] Kira T.A climatological interpretation of Japanese vegetation zones[C]//Miyawaki A,Txen R.Vegetation Science and Environmental Protection.Tokyo:Maruzen,1977:21-30.
[19] Kira T.Forest ecosystems of East and Southeast Asia in global perspective[J].Ecology Research,1991,6:185-200.
[20] Numata M.The relationship between vegetation zones and climatic ones[J].International Journal of Biometeorology,1984,21(1):1-10.
[21] Hattori T,Nakaxishi S.On the distributional of the lucidophyllous forest in the Japanese Archipelago[J].The Botanical Magazine,1985,98:317-333.
[22] Yim Y J.Distribution of forest vegetation and climate in the Korean peninsula.Ⅲ.Distribution of tree species along the thermal gradient[J].Japanese Journal of Ecology,1977,27(3):177-189.
[23] 徐文铎.东北主要树种的分布与热量关系的初步研究[J].东北林学院学报,1982(4):1-10.
[Xu Wenduo.Northeast of main tree species of the preliminary research on the relationship between distribution and heat[J].Journal of Northeast Institute,1982(4):1-10.]
[24] 徐文铎.东北地带性植被建群种及常见种的分布与水热条件关系的初步研究[J].植物学报,1983,25(3):264-273.
[Xu Wenduo.The relation between distribution of edificatory and compation in zonal vegetation and water temperature condition in Northeast China[J].Acta Botanica Sinica,1983,25(3):264-273.]
[25] 徐文铎.中国东北主要植被类型的分布与气候的关系[J].植物生态学报,1986,10(4):254-263.
[Xu Wenduo.The relation between the zonal distribution of types of vegetation and the climate in Northeast China[J].Acta Phytoecologica Sinica,1986,10(4):254-263.]
[26] 徐文铎,常禹.中国东北地带性顶极植被类型及其预测判别模型——动态地植物学说的继承与发展(I) [J].应用生态学报,1992,3(3):215-222.
[Xu Wenduo,Chang Yu.Zonal climax vegetation types in Northeast China and their predicted discriminant model[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,1992,3(3):215-222.]
[27] Fang J Y,Yoda K.Climate and vegetation in China (Ⅱ):Distribution of main vegetation types and thermal climate[J].Ecological Research,1989,4:71-83.
[28] Fang J Y,Yoda K.Climate and vegetation in China (Ⅳ).Distribution of tree species along the thermal gradieat[J].Ecological Research,1990,5:291-302.
[29] Fang J Y,Yoda K.Climate and vegetation in China (Ⅴ).Effect of climatic factors on the upper limit of distribution of evergreen broadleaf forest[J].Ecological Research,1991,6:113-125.
[30] 林思祖,刘玉宝,罗雪妹,等.杉木及其混交树种的垂直分布与热量关系[J].福建林学院学报,2000,20(3):211-214.
[Lin Sizu,Liu Yubao,Luo Xuemei,et al.The correlation between vertical distribution and vertical thermal indexes of Chinese fir and its mixed species in Fujian [J].Journal of Fujian College of Forestry,2000,20(3):211-214.]
[31] 张军涛,李哲,郑度.东北农牧交错区水分条件及其对植被分布的影响[J].地理科学,2001,21(4):297-300.
[Zhang Juntao,Li Zhe,Zheng Du.The moisture regime of transitional areas of farming and pasturing in the Northeastern China and its effects on vegetation distribution[J].Scientia Geographical Sinica,2001,21(4):297-300.]
[32] 谢晓金,郝日明.Kira 与 Holdridge 热力指标对常绿树种耐低温能力的评价[J].福建林学院学报,2006,26(3):258-261.
[Xie Xiaojin,Hao Riming.Application of Kira and Holdridge’s temperature indexes to low temperature tolerance of evergreen trees[J].Journal of Fujian College of Forestry,2006,26(3):258-261.]
[33] 牛建明.内蒙古主要植被类型与气候因子关系的研究[J].应用生态学报,2000,11(1):47-52.
[Niu Jianming.Relationship between main vegetation types and climatic factors in Inner Mongolia [J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2000,11(1):47-52.]
[34] 许娟,张百平,谭靖,等.青藏高原植被垂直带与气候因子的空间关系[J].山地学报,2009,27(6):663-670.
[Xu Juan,Zhang Baiping,Tan Jing,et al.Spatial relationship between altitudinal vegetation belts and climatic factors in the Qinghai Tibetan plateau[J].Journal of Mountain Science,2009,27(6):663-670.]
[35] 李峰,周广胜,曹铭昌.兴安落叶松地理分布对气候变化响应的模拟[J].应用生态学报,2006,17(12):2255-2260.
[Li Feng,Zhou Guangsheng,Cao Mingcang.Responses of Larix gmelinii geographical distribution to future climate change:A simulation study [J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2006,17(12):2255-2260.]
[36] 魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术山[M].北京:气象出版社,1999.
[Wei Fengying.Diagnostic and Forecasting Techniques in Modern Climate Statistics[M].Beijing:China Meteorological Press,1999.]
[37] 陈建宇,赵景波.1960—2014年内蒙古极端天气事件趋势分析[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(5):997-1009.
[Chen Jianyu,Zhao Jingbo.Trends of extreme weather events in Inner Mongolia during the period of 1960-2014 [J].Arid Zone Research,2017,34(5):997-1009.]
[38] 罗继,代君梅,杨虎,等.1971—2014年新疆区域寒潮气候特征[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(2):309-315.
[Luo Ji,Dai Junmei,Yang Hu,et al.Climatic characteristics of cold wave in Xinjiang during the period of 1971-2014 [J].Arid Zone Research,2017,34(2):309-315.]
[39] IPCC.Climate Change 2013:The Physical Science.Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[M].New York:Cambridge University Press,2013.
[40] 任福民,翟盘茂.1951—1990年中国极端气温变[J].大气科学,1998,22(2):217-227.
[Ren Fumin,Zhai Panmao.Analysis of the extreme temperature in China during 1951-1990[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1998,22(2):217-227.]
[41] 赵军,师银芳,王大为,等.1961—2008年中国大陆极端气温时空变化分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2012,26(3):52-56.
[Zhao Jun ,Shi Yinfang,Wang Dawei,et al.Temporal and spatial changes of extreme temperatures in China during 1961-2008[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2012,26(3):52-56.]
[42] Cohen J,Barlow M,Saito K. Decadal fluctuations in planetarywave forcing modulate global warming in late boreal winter[J].Journal of Climate,2009,22:4418-4426.
[43] 王迪,何金海,祁莉,等.全球变暖减缓背景下欧亚秋冬温度变化特征和原因[J].气象科学,2015,35(5):534-542 [Wang Di,He Jinhai,Qi Li,et a1.Temperature characteristic of Eurasia in autumn and winter and its causes under global warming mitigation[J].Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2015,35(5):534-542.]
[44] 冯青荣,刘普幸.近54 a中国北方严寒期时空变化特征及其影响因素[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(2):316-323.
[Feng Qingrong,Liu Puxing.Spatiotemporal change of cold periods and their affecting factors in North China in recent 54 years [J].Arid Zone Research,2017,34(2):316-323.]
[45] 沈永平,王国亚.IPCC 第一工作组第五次评估报告对全球气候变化认知的最新科学要点[J].冰川冻土,2013,35(5):1068-1076.
[Shen Yongping,Wang Guoya.Key findings and assessment results of IPCC WGI Fifth Assessment Report[J].Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2013,35(5):1068-1076.]
[46] Easterling D R,Wehner M F.Is the climate warming or cooling[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2009,36. doi:10.1029/2009GL037810.
[47] Li Q X,Yang S,Xu W H,et al.China experiences the recent warming hiatus[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2015,42:889-898.
[48] 王绍武,叶瑾琳.近百年全球气候变暖分析[J].大气科学,1995,19(5):545-553.
[Wang Shaowu,Ye Jinlin.An analysis of global warming during the last one hundred years[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1995,19(5):545-553.]
[49] Kosaka Y,Xie S P. Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling[J].Nature,2013,501:403-407.
[50] Trenberth K E,Fasullo J T,Branstator G,et al.Seasonal aspects of the recent pause in surface warming [J].Nature Climate Change,2014,4:911-916.
[51] 代海燕,陈素华,武艳娟,等.内蒙古大兴安岭生态功能区冷暖季节气候变化趋势分析[J].冰川冻土,2016,38(3):645-652.
[Dai Haiyan,Chen Suhua,Wu Yanjuan,et al.Analysis of the warm and cool sermon’s clime variations in the ecological function sites in the Grey Khingan,Inner Mongolia [J].Journal of Glxiology and Geocryology,2016,38(3):645-652.]
