干旱区研究

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2025 , Vol. 42 >Issue 11: 2093 - 2103

DOI: https://doi.org/10.13866/j.azr.2025.11.12

生态与环境

黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性的耦合协调水平测度及交互响应

  • 周文慧 ,
  • 许彩艳
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  • 1.衢州学院商学院，浙江 衢州 324000
    2.兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院，甘肃 兰州 730000
周文慧（1992-），女，博士，讲师，主要从事数字经济与高质量发展等方面的研究. E-mail: zhouwenhui@qzc.edu.cn
许彩艳. E-mail: sbxcy9312@163.com

收稿日期: 2025-05-15

  修回日期: 2025-07-25

  网络出版日期: 2025-12-13

基金资助

浙江省高校重大人文社科攻关计划项目(2024QN045);衢州市级社科规划课题(25QSKG41LX);衢州学院科研基金资助项目(BSYJ202444)

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Coupled coordination level measurement and interaction response analysis of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin

  • ZHOU Wenhui ,
  • XU Caiyan
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  • 1. Business School, Quzhou University, Quzhou 324000, Zhejiang, China
    2. School of Statistics and Data Science, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China

Received date: 2025-05-15

  Revised date: 2025-07-25

  Online published: 2025-12-13

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摘要

科学量化评估黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性的耦合协调度及其交互响应关系，对于推动流域生态保护具有重要的科学意义和实践价值。在构建黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性评价指标体系的基础上，综合运用Kernel密度估计、Dagum基尼系数分解法、耦合协调模型和面板VAR模型探讨了2013—2022年黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性耦合协调度的时空分布特征及交互响应关系。结果表明：（1） 黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性耦合协调度水平有了明显提升，但距离优质协调还存在较大空间。（2） 流域间差异贡献率达60%~70%，是区域失衡的主要原因，尤其以上游与中下游间的“断层式差距”较为突出。（3） 黄河流域新质生产力和生态韧性具有明显的“自我增强效应”，二者之间存在“短期抑制、长期促进”的动态交互响应关系，尚未形成良性循环。本研究为因地制宜促进黄河流域新质生产力发展，推动黄河流域新质生产力和生态韧性协同发展提供了参考价值和科学依据。

关键词： 黄河流域; 新质生产力; 生态韧性; 耦合协调; 交互响应

本文引用格式

周文慧 , 许彩艳 . 黄河流域新质生产力与生态韧性的耦合协调水平测度及交互响应[J]. 干旱区研究, 2025 , 42(11) : 2093 -2103 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2025.11.12

Abstract

It is of great scientific significance and practical value to quantitatively evaluate the coupling coordination degree and mutual response relationship between new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin for promoting ecological protection in the basin. Based on the construction of the coupling coordination evaluation index system of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin, this study comprehensively used Kernel density estimation, Dagum Gini coefficient decomposition method, coupling coordination model, and panel VAR model to explore the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and interactive response relationship between the coupling coordination degree of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin from 2013 to 2022. The results showed that: (1) During the study period, the coupling coordination level of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin significantly improved, with still much room for improvement in terms of high quality coordination. (2) The contribution rate of inter-basin differences was 60%-70%, primarily causing regional imbalance, especially a “fault gap” in the upstream, middle, and lower reaches. (3) The new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin had a “self-reinforcing effect,” and there was a dynamic interaction response of “short-term inhibition and long-term promotion” between the two but a virtuous circle was not yet formed. This study provides a certain reference value and scientific basis for promoting the development of new quality productivity and ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin based on local conditions.

Key words： Yellow River Basin; new quality productivity; ecological resilience; coupling coordination; interaction response

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