干旱区研究

干旱区研究 >

2018 , Vol. 35 >Issue 2: 425 - 435

DOI: https://doi.org/10.13866/j.azr.2018.02.22

气候及气候资源

基于GCM和冰芯的天山地区降水同位素的水汽来源影响机制

  • 杨森 ,
  • 张明军 ,
  • 王圣杰
展开
  • 1.西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,甘肃 兰州 730070;
    2.中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室,甘肃 兰州 730070
杨森(1993-),女,硕士研究生,主要从事全球变化与可持续发展方面的研究. E-mail: geoyangsen@126.com
张明军. E-mail: mjzhang2004@163.com

收稿日期: 2017-06-11

  修回日期: 2017-07-22

  网络出版日期: 2025-11-17

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目(41161012);国家重大科学研究计划专题项目(2013CBA01801);冰冻圈科学国家重点实验室开放基金项目(SKLCS-OP-2017-04);中国沙漠气象科学研究基金项目(Sqj2016001);西北师范大学青年教师科研能力提升计划项目(NWNU-LKQN-15-8)

收起

Affecting Mechanism of Moisture Sources of Isotopes in Precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains Based on GCMs and Ice Core

  • YANG Sen ,
  • ZHANG Ming-jun ,
  • WANG Sheng-jie
Expand
  • 1. College of Geography and Environment Science,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China;
    2. State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources,Chinese Academy Sciences,Lanzhou 730000,Gansu,China

Received date: 2017-06-11

  Revised date: 2017-07-22

  Online published: 2025-11-17

Fold

摘要

利用GISS-E(MERRA)、GISS-E(NCEP)、isoGSM(NCEP)、LMDZ(free)、LMDZ(ECMWF)和MIROC(free)6种GCM模型数据以及庙尔沟冰芯δ18O数据,对比分析了各模型和冰芯中δ18O的年际变化特征。并用6种模型数据分别与庙尔沟冰芯δ18O数据进行相关性分析,通过观察冰芯δ18O数据与距离冰芯最近模型数据的变化趋势,选出最适用于分析天山地区降水中δ18O的GCM模型,分析该模型中水汽的来源情况。结果表明:在年际尺度上GCM模拟的结果中存在“温度效应”,只是年际尺度上比年内尺度上的相关性略弱。MIRCO(free)模型模拟的倾向率变化与庙尔沟冰芯的倾向率变化一致(α=-0.01)。MIROC(free)模型的输出结果在天山地区最接近实测结果。水汽来源的方向与比例决定着降水中δ18O值偏正/偏负的程度。依据连续小波变换方法得出,在1990—2001年能量最强,1990—2001年降水中δ18O值虽然多次的波动偏正,但整体偏负。研究水汽来源轨迹发现,当降水中δ18O偏负时,主要是由来自北冰洋的水汽增多引起的,出现多次偏正波动时,主要是由于中纬度大西洋的水汽增加增多造成的。

关键词： GCMs; 冰芯; 水汽来源; 降水同位素; 庙尔沟; 天山山区

本文引用格式

杨森 , 张明军 , 王圣杰 . 基于GCM和冰芯的天山地区降水同位素的水汽来源影响机制[J]. 干旱区研究, 2018 , 35(2) : 425 -435 . DOI: 10.13866/j.azr.2018.02.22

Abstract

The interannual variations of δ18O from the GCMs and ice core were studied according to the six simulations of several isotope-equipped general circulation models (GCMs) (including the GISS-E(MERRA),GISS-E(NCEP),isoGSM(NCEP),LMDZ(free),LMDZ(ECMWF) and MIROC(free)) and the data of δ18O from the Miaoergou ice core. By correlation analysis,the six simulations of isotope-enabled GCMs and the δ18O data from ice core were analyzed.Six simulations of isotope-enabled GCMs data and the ice core data were involved,and the monthly series of stable oxygen isotopes in precipitation for each grid were applied to calculate the linear trends.By observing the change trend of δ18O data from ice core and simulated data,the most suitable isotope-enabled general circulation model (GCM) was selected to analyze the data of δ18O in precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains,and the sources of water vapor in the most suitable model were further analyzed.The results showed that there was a “temperature effect” in the results simulated with GCMs on an interannual timescale.Generally,the correlation between oxygen isotope composition and surface air temperature on interannual timescale was lower than on seasonal timescale.The trend of MIROC(free) model was similar to that of the Miaoergou ice core (a=-0.01).MIROC(free) model was the most suitable model used to simulate the values of δ18O in precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains,and the result from the MIROC(free) model was similar to the measured one.The direction and proportion of water vapor sources determined the poverty or enrichment degree of δ18O in precipitation.Based on the continuous wavelet transform methods,the strongest energy occurred during the period from 1990 to 2001.Even though the values of δ18O in precipitation during the period from 1990 to 2001 presented many positive fluctuations,a significant decrease trend was characterized in general.After observing the vapor source trajectories,the increased water vapor from the Arctic Ocean resulted in a significant decrease trend of δ18O in precipitation,and the increased water vapor from the mid-latitude Atlantic caused many increasingly fluctuations of δ18O.

Key words： GCMs; ice core; water vapor source; stable water isotopes; Miaoergou; Tianshan Mountains

参考文献

〔1〕 Thomas E R,Bracegirdle T J.Precipitation pathways for five new ice core sites in Ellsworth Land,West Antarctica〔J〕.Climate Dynamics,2014,44(7/8):2 067-2 078.
〔2〕 Johnsen S J,Clausen H B,Jouzel J,et al.Stable isotope records from greenland deep ice cores: The climate signal and the role of diffusion〔J〕.Ice Physics and the Natural Environment,1999,56:89-107.
〔3〕 Schotterer U,Froehlich K,Gaeggeler H,et al.Isotope records from Mongolian and Alpine ice cores as climate indicators〔J〕.Climatic Change,1997,36(3/4):519-530.
〔4〕 田立德,姚檀栋.青藏高原冰芯高分辨率气候环境记录研究进展〔J〕.科学通报,2016,61(9):926-937.〔Tian Lide,Yao Tandong.High-resolution climate and environmental records from the Tibetan Plateau ice cores〔J〕.Chinese Science Bulletin,2016,61(9):926-937.〕
〔5〕 赵华标,徐柏青,王宁练.青藏高原冰芯稳定氧同位素记录的温度代用性研究〔J〕.第四纪研究,2014,34(6):1 215-1 226.〔Zhao Huabiao,Xu Baiqing,Wang Ninglian.Study on the water stable isotopes in Tibetan Plateau ice cores as a proxy of temperature〔J〕.Quaternary Sciences,2014,34(6):1 215-1 226.〕
〔6〕 田立德,姚檀栋,孙维贞,等.喜马拉雅山南坡冬季暴雪对高原南部冰芯中稳定同位素记录的影响〔J〕.气象学报,2001,59(4):509-512.〔Tian Lide,Yao Tandong,Sun Weizhen,et al.The effect of snow storm in the South of Himalayas on δ18O in ice core record〔J〕.Acta Meteorologica Sinica,2001,59(4):509-512.〕
〔7〕 田立德,姚檀栋,文蓉,等.青藏高原西部纳木那尼冰芯同位素记录的气候意义初探〔J〕.第四纪研究,2012,32(1):46-51.〔Tian Lide,Yao Tandong,Wen Rong,et al.A primary recognition on the climatic significance of ice core isotope record in Naimonanyi of West Tibetan Plateau〔J〕.Quaternary Sciences,2012,32(1):46-51.〕
〔8〕 卫克勤,林瑞芬.祁连山敦德冰芯氧同位素剖面的古气候信息探究〔J〕.地球化学,1994,23(4):311-320.〔Wei Keqin,Lin Ruifen.An enquiry into palaeoclimatic information from Oxygen isotopic profile of Dunde ice core in Qilianshan〔J〕.Geochimica,1994,23(4):311-320.〕
〔9〕 王有清,蒲健辰,张永亮,等.马兰冰芯记录的青藏高原中部现代升温变化特征〔J〕.冰川冻土,2003,25(2):130-134.〔Wang Youqing,Pu Jianchen,Zhang Yongliang,et al.Characteristics of present warming change recorded in Malan ice core,central Tibetan Plateau〔J〕.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2003,25(2):130-134.〕
〔10〕王立伟,李忠勤,董志文,等.天山乌鲁木齐河源1号冰川冰芯记录形成过程及年代划分〔J〕.干旱区地理,2011,34(5):739-746.〔Wang Liwei,Li Zhongqin,Dong Zhiwen,et al.Chronology and record formation process of an ice core from Glacier No.1 at Urumqi Riverhead in eastern Tianshan,China〔J〕.Arid Land Geography,2011,34(5):739-746.〕
〔11〕姚红兵,李忠勤,王璞玉,等.近50 a天山乌鲁木齐河源1号冰川变化分析〔J〕.干旱区研究,2015,32(3):442-447.〔Yao Hongbin,Li Zhongqin,Wang Puyu,et al.Area variation analysis of Urumqi Glacier No.1 in past 50 decades〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2015,32(3):442-447.〕
〔12〕徐春海,王飞腾,李忠勤,等.1972—2013年新疆玛纳斯河流域冰川变化〔J〕.干旱区研究,2016,33(3):628-635.〔Xu Chunhai,Wang Feiteng,Li Zhongqin,et al.Glacier variation in the Manas River Basin during the period from 1972 to 2013〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2016,33(3):628-635.〕
〔13〕章新平,孙志安,关华德,等.东亚水循环中水稳定同位素的GCM模拟和相互比较〔J〕.冰川冻土,2011,33(6):1 274-1 285.〔Zhang Xinping,Sun Zhi’an,Guan Huade,et al.GCM simulation of stable water isotopes in water cycle and intercomparisons over East Asia〔J〕.Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology,2011,33(6):1 274-1 285.〕
〔14〕Joussaume S,Sadourny R,Jouzel J.A general circulation model of water isotope cycles in the atmosphere 〔J〕.Nature,1984,311(5 981):24-29.
〔15〕Wang S J,Zhang M J,Chen F L,et al.Comparison of GCM-simulated isotopic compositions of precipitation in arid central Asia〔J〕.Journal of Geographical Sciences,2015,25(7):771-783.
〔16〕Conroy J L,Cobb K M,Noone D.Comparison of precipitation isotope variability across the tropical Pacific in observations and SWING2 model simulations〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2013,118(11):5 867-5 892.
〔17〕Sturm C,Zhang Q,Noone D.An introduction to stable water isotopes in climate models:Benefits of forward proxy modelling for paleoclimatology〔J〕.Climate of the Past,2010,6(1):115-129.
〔18〕刘小康,饶志国,张肖剑,等.天山地区大气降水氧同位素的影响因素及其对西风环流变化的指示意义〔J〕.地理学报,2015,70(1):97-109.〔Liu Xiaokang,Rao Zhiguo,Zhang Xiaojian,et al.Variations in the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation in the Tianshan Mountains region and their significance for the westerly circulation〔J〕.Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(1):97-109.〕
〔19〕Draxler R R,Hess G D.An overview of the hysplit-4 modeling system for trajectories〔J〕.Australian Meteorological Magazine,1998,47(4):295-308.
〔20〕胡汝骥.中国天山自然地理〔M〕.北京:中国环境科学出版社,2004:1-14,180-198.〔Hu Ruji.Physical Geography of Tianshan Mountains in China〔M〕.Beijing:China Environmental Science Press,2004:1-14,180-198.〕
〔21〕刘时银,姚晓军,郭万钦,等.基于第二次冰川编目的中国冰川现状〔J〕.地理学报,2015,70(1):3-16.〔Liu Shiyin,Yao Xiaojun,Guo Wanxin,et al.The contemporary glaciers in China based on the Second Chinese Glacier Inventory〔J〕.Acta Geographica Sinica 2015,70(1):3-16.〕
〔22〕王宇,李均利,李长春,等.50 a来别珍套山冰湖的时空变化及其对气候的响应〔J〕.干旱区研究,2016,33(2):299-307.〔Wang Yu,Li Junli,Li Changchun,et al.Spatiotemporal change of Glacial Lakes in the Biezhengtao Mountain and its response to climate change〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2016,33(2):299-307.〕
〔23〕王圣杰,张明军,李忠勤,等.近50年来中国天山冰川面积变化对气候的响应〔J〕.地理学报,2011,66(1):38-46.〔Wang Shengjie,Zhang Mingjun,Li Zhongqin,et al.Response of glacier area variation to climate change in Chinese Tianshan Mountations in the past 50 years〔J〕.Acta Geographica Sinica,2011,66(1):38-46.〕
〔24〕Wang S J,Zhang M J,Pepin N C,et al.Recent changes in freezing level heights in High Asia and their impact on glacier changes〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2014,119(4):1 753-1 765.
〔25〕Wang S J,Zhang M J,Hughes C E,et al.Factors controlling stable isotope composition of precipitation in arid conditions:An observation network in the Tianshan Mountains,central Asia〔J〕.Tellus B:Chemical and Physical Meteorology,2016,68(1):289-299.
〔26〕Wang S J,Zhang M J,Che Y J,et al.Influence of below-cloud evaporation on deuterium excess in precipitation of Arid Central Asia and its meteorological controls〔J〕.Journal of Hydrometeorology,2016,17(7):1 973-1 984.
〔27〕Liu Y P,Hou S G,Hong S M,et al.High-resolution trace element records of an ice core from the eastern Tienshan,central Asia,since 1953 AD〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2011,116(D12).
〔28〕Schmidt G A,Legrande A N,Hoffmann G.Water isotope expressions of intrinsic and forced variability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2007,112(D10):185-194.
〔29〕Yoshimura K,Kanamitsu M,Noone D,et al.Historical isotope simulation using reanalysis atmospheric data〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2008,113(D19):e60 941-e60 941.
〔30〕Kurita N,Noone D,Risi C,et al.Intraseasonal isotopic variation associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2011,116(D24):24 101.
〔31〕Camille R,Sandrine B,Francoise V,et al.Water-stable isotopes in the LMDZ4 general circulation model:Model evaluation for present-day and past climates and applications to climatic interpretations of tropical isotopic records〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres,2010,115(D12).
〔32〕Wang Y Q.MeteoInfo:GIS software for meteorological data visualization and analysis〔J〕.Meteorological Applications,2014,21(2):360-368.
〔33〕沈陈华.气象因子对江苏省水稻单产的影响〔J〕.生态学报,2015,35(12):4 155-4 167.〔Shen Chenhua.Meteorological effects on rice yields in Jiangsu Province〔J〕.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2015,35(12):4 155-4 167.〕
〔34〕Torrence C,Compo G P.A practical guide to wavelet analysis〔J〕.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,1998,79(1):61-78.
〔35〕Grinsted A,Moore J C,Jevrejeva S.Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series〔J〕.Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics,2004,11(5/6):561-566.
〔36〕刘占明,陈子燊,路剑飞,等.广东北江流域降水时空分布及其与Nino 3区SST相关性分析〔J〕.自然资源学报,2013,28(5):786-798.〔Liu Zhanming,Chen Zishen,Lu Jianfei,et al.Analysis of correlation between the spatio-temporal distribution of precipitation in Beijiang River Basin and SST in Nino 3〔J〕.Journal of Natural Resources,2013,28(5):786-798.〕
〔37〕Lonnie H,Huang J P.Bivariate wavelet analysis of Asia monsoon and ENSO〔J〕.Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,1996,13(3):299-312.
〔38〕李景林,张山清,普宗朝,等.近50 a新疆气温精细化时空变化分析〔J〕.干旱区地理,2013,36(2):228-237.〔Li Jinglin,Zhang Shanqing,Pu Zongchao,et al.Spatial-temporal variation of seasonal and annual air temperature in Xinjiang during 1961-2010〔J〕.Arid Land Geography,2013,36(2):228-237.〕
〔39〕张雪芹,孙杨,毛炜峄,等.中国干旱区气温变化对全球变暖的区域响应〔J〕.干旱区研究,2010,27(4):592-599.〔Zhang Xueqin,Sun Yang,Mao Weiyi,et al.Regional response of temperature change in the arid regions of China to global warming〔J〕.Arid Zone Research,2010,27(4):592-599.〕
〔40〕何清,袁玉江,赵勇,等.中亚气候变化调查研究〔M〕.北京:气象出版社,2016.〔He Qing,Yuan Yujiang,Zhao Yong,et al.Investigation on climate change in Central Asia〔M〕.Beijing:Meteorological Press,2016.〕
〔41〕李瑞雪.中国天山山区气候变化的时空分布特征〔D〕.甘肃:西北师范大学,2010:13-14.〔Li Ruixue.Spatio-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Climate Change in the Tianshan Mountainous,China〔D〕.Gansu:Northwest Normal University,2010:13-14.〕
〔42〕阿依夏木·尼亚孜,周宁芳,杨贵名.近45年哈密地区温度变化特征〔J〕.气象,2007,33(7):89-97.〔Ayixiamu Niyazhi,Zhou Ningfang,Yang Guiming.Analyses on characteristics of air temperature change in Hami,Xinjiang in resent 45 years〔J〕.Meteorological Monthly,2007,33(7):89-97.〕
〔43〕宋琳琳,侯书贵,刘亚平.天山东部哈尔里克山庙儿沟冰芯1953年以来的δ18O记录〔J〕.兰州大学学报:自然科学版,2011,47(5):36-41.〔Song Linlin,Hou Shugui,Liu Yaping.δ18O record of Miaoergou ice core from the Karlik Mountains of east Tienshan since 1953〔J〕.Journal of Lanzhou University:Natural Sciences Edition,2011,47(5):36-41.〕
〔44〕卫克勤,林瑞芬.论季风气候对我国雨水同位素组成的影响〔J〕.地球化学,1994,23(1):33-41.〔Wei Keqin,Lin Ruifen.The influence of the monsoon climate on the isotopic composition of precipitation in China〔J〕.Geochimica,1994,23(1):33-41.〕
〔45〕戴新刚,李维京,马柱国.近十几年新疆水汽源地变化特征〔J〕.自然科学进展,2006,16(12):1 651-1 656.〔Dai Xingang,Li Weijing,Ma Zhuguo.Water-vapor source shift of Xinjiang region during the recent twenty years〔J〕.Progress in Natural Science,2006,16(12):1 651-1 656.〕
〔46〕Wang S J,Zhang M J,Crawford J,et al.The effect of moisture source and synoptic conditions on precipitation isotopes in arid central Asia〔J〕.Journal of Geophysical Research:Atmospheres,2017,122(5):2 667-2 682.
Options
文章导航

/

〈 〉